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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin1.88+3.51vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin1.46+3.50vs Predicted
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3Michigan State University1.36+2.75vs Predicted
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4University of Michigan1.05+2.54vs Predicted
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5University of Minnesota2.53-1.91vs Predicted
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6Western Michigan University1.25+0.04vs Predicted
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8University of Michigan1.60-2.98vs Predicted
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9Northwestern University0.54-1.35vs Predicted
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10University of Michigan1.32-4.36vs Predicted
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11Northern Michigan University-0.00-2.11vs Predicted
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12University of Illinois-2.31-0.37vs Predicted
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13University of Chicago0.57-5.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.51University of Wisconsin1.880.1%1st Place
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5.5University of Wisconsin1.460.1%1st Place
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5.75Michigan State University1.360.1%1st Place
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6.54University of Michigan1.050.0%1st Place
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3.09University of Minnesota2.530.3%1st Place
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6.04Western Michigan University1.250.1%1st Place
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5.02University of Michigan1.600.1%1st Place
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7.65Northwestern University0.540.0%1st Place
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5.64University of Michigan1.320.1%1st Place
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8.89Northern Michigan University-0.000.0%1st Place
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11.63University of Illinois-2.310.0%1st Place
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7.75University of Chicago0.570.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Phillip Morley | 13.3% | 14.1% | 12.1% | 13.9% | 13.0% | 10.6% | 9.0% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Adelaide Davis | 8.7% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 11.7% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 2.9% | 0.0% |
| Bill Weiland | 8.6% | 8.3% | 11.0% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 12.3% | 10.1% | 11.3% | 10.5% | 7.7% | 2.8% | 0.2% |
| Michael Hamel | 4.8% | 5.5% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 10.1% | 10.6% | 9.7% | 11.0% | 11.8% | 11.2% | 7.6% | 0.6% |
| Drake Lundeen | 28.5% | 21.0% | 15.4% | 12.8% | 8.7% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aras Karaitis | 7.1% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 10.5% | 11.7% | 11.2% | 11.3% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 5.0% | 0.4% |
| David Oliver | 11.1% | 11.4% | 12.6% | 11.2% | 12.1% | 9.0% | 11.0% | 9.0% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 2.0% | 0.1% |
| Amanda Leigh Snyder | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 13.0% | 16.4% | 18.2% | 1.9% |
| Rachel Barch | 7.1% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 13.2% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 11.0% | 10.5% | 10.1% | 6.1% | 2.7% | 0.1% |
| Margaret Winfree | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 16.9% | 35.3% | 6.3% |
| Daniel Bartz | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 2.5% | 5.3% | 87.9% |
| Michael Kang | 4.0% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 10.7% | 14.1% | 16.8% | 17.1% | 2.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.