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📊 Prediction Accuracy
20.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.7
Avg Position Diff
25
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara2.91+2.47vs Predicted
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2University of Southern California2.24+3.40vs Predicted
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3University of Washington0.79+8.20vs Predicted
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4California State University Monterey Bay-0.52+13.48vs Predicted
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5California Poly Maritime Academy1.81+1.69vs Predicted
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6California Poly Maritime Academy0.46+6.73vs Predicted
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7Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.34+1.66vs Predicted
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8University of Hawaii2.28-2.76vs Predicted
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9University of California at San Diego1.45-1.10vs Predicted
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10University of California at Los Angeles0.52+2.30vs Predicted
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11University of California at Irvine-0.71+7.12vs Predicted
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12University of California at Berkeley1.57-4.35vs Predicted
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13University of Victoria-0.56+4.66vs Predicted
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14University of Hawaii0.87-3.45vs Predicted
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15University of Victoria-0.62+2.88vs Predicted
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16University of California at Santa Cruz0.26-2.40vs Predicted
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17University of Washington-0.27-0.99vs Predicted
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18California State University Monterey Bay-0.52-0.52vs Predicted
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19University of California at Berkeley0.37-5.86vs Predicted
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20University of California at Santa Barbara0.58-8.19vs Predicted
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21University of California at Davis-0.38-4.58vs Predicted
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22University of California at Santa Cruz-0.93-2.96vs Predicted
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23San Diego State University-0.25-6.97vs Predicted
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24Santa Clara University-0.44-7.19vs Predicted
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25California State University Channel Islands0.15-10.77vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.47University of California at Santa Barbara2.910.2%1st Place
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5.4University of Southern California2.240.1%1st Place
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11.2University of Washington0.790.0%1st Place
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17.48California State University Monterey Bay-0.520.0%1st Place
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6.69California Poly Maritime Academy1.810.1%1st Place
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12.73California Poly Maritime Academy0.460.0%1st Place
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8.66Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.340.1%1st Place
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5.24University of Hawaii2.280.1%1st Place
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7.9University of California at San Diego1.450.0%1st Place
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12.3University of California at Los Angeles0.520.0%1st Place
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18.12University of California at Irvine-0.710.0%1st Place
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7.65University of California at Berkeley1.570.1%1st Place
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17.66University of Victoria-0.560.0%1st Place
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10.55University of Hawaii0.870.0%1st Place
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17.88University of Victoria-0.620.0%1st Place
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13.6University of California at Santa Cruz0.260.0%1st Place
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16.01University of Washington-0.270.0%1st Place
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17.48California State University Monterey Bay-0.520.0%1st Place
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13.14University of California at Berkeley0.370.0%1st Place
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11.81University of California at Santa Barbara0.580.0%1st Place
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16.42University of California at Davis-0.380.0%1st Place
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19.04University of California at Santa Cruz-0.930.0%1st Place
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16.03San Diego State University-0.250.0%1st Place
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16.81Santa Clara University-0.440.0%1st Place
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14.23California State University Channel Islands0.150.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matt Long | 24.1% | 20.1% | 14.9% | 12.4% | 9.8% | 6.9% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Upamanyu Dutta | 10.9% | 12.4% | 11.4% | 11.9% | 10.3% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Austin Hauter | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Liam Patrick | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 11.0% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Rohr | 8.5% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hailey Thompson | 1.4% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Will Cefali | 5.2% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Wilkinson | 13.5% | 11.9% | 11.7% | 10.2% | 10.9% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Dorn | 4.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 9.7% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Abraham Dearden | 3.1% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Parker Kulavic | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 11.0% | 12.5% | 14.3% | 0.0% |
| Nicolai Sponholtz | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gabriel Sanchez | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 10.6% | 10.3% | 0.0% |
| Hayden Lahr | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Caitlyn Shum | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 10.9% | 12.5% | 10.9% | 0.0% |
| James Melvin | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Joanna Garcia | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 0.0% |
| Liam Patrick | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 11.0% | 0.0% |
| Josefina Ruggieri | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Margot Mason | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Jodie Jacobs | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 0.0% |
| Francine Brownell | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 9.6% | 10.7% | 11.4% | 21.0% | 0.0% |
| Gillian Dean | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 4.1% | 0.0% |
| Allison Glover | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Clements | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.