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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.9
Avg Position Diff
25
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii2.28+3.96vs Predicted
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2University of Southern California1.72+5.04vs Predicted
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3University of California at Berkeley1.57+4.64vs Predicted
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4California Poly Maritime Academy0.46+8.88vs Predicted
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5California Poly Maritime Academy1.81+1.48vs Predicted
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6University of California at Los Angeles0.52+6.40vs Predicted
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7Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.34+1.50vs Predicted
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8University of Victoria-0.62+9.75vs Predicted
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9University of California at Santa Cruz0.26+4.35vs Predicted
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10California State University Monterey Bay-0.52+7.15vs Predicted
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11University of Washington0.79+0.10vs Predicted
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12University of California at Santa Barbara2.91-8.66vs Predicted
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13California State University Monterey Bay-0.52+4.15vs Predicted
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14University of California at San Diego1.45-5.87vs Predicted
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15University of California at Santa Barbara0.58-3.06vs Predicted
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16California State University Channel Islands0.15-1.70vs Predicted
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17University of California at Berkeley0.37-3.91vs Predicted
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18San Diego State University-0.25-2.09vs Predicted
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19University of Hawaii0.87-8.34vs Predicted
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20University of Victoria-0.56-2.97vs Predicted
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21University of Washington-0.27-5.18vs Predicted
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22University of California at Irvine-0.71-3.80vs Predicted
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23University of California at Davis-0.38-6.35vs Predicted
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24University of California at Santa Cruz-0.93-5.23vs Predicted
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25Santa Clara University-0.44-8.07vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.96University of Hawaii2.280.1%1st Place
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7.04University of Southern California1.720.1%1st Place
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7.64University of California at Berkeley1.570.1%1st Place
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12.88California Poly Maritime Academy0.460.0%1st Place
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6.48California Poly Maritime Academy1.810.1%1st Place
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12.4University of California at Los Angeles0.520.0%1st Place
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8.5Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.340.1%1st Place
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17.75University of Victoria-0.620.0%1st Place
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13.35University of California at Santa Cruz0.260.0%1st Place
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17.15California State University Monterey Bay-0.520.0%1st Place
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11.1University of Washington0.790.0%1st Place
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3.34University of California at Santa Barbara2.910.3%1st Place
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17.15California State University Monterey Bay-0.520.0%1st Place
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8.13University of California at San Diego1.450.1%1st Place
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11.94University of California at Santa Barbara0.580.0%1st Place
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14.3California State University Channel Islands0.150.0%1st Place
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13.09University of California at Berkeley0.370.0%1st Place
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15.91San Diego State University-0.250.0%1st Place
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10.66University of Hawaii0.870.0%1st Place
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17.03University of Victoria-0.560.0%1st Place
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15.82University of Washington-0.270.0%1st Place
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18.2University of California at Irvine-0.710.0%1st Place
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16.65University of California at Davis-0.380.0%1st Place
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18.77University of California at Santa Cruz-0.930.0%1st Place
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16.93Santa Clara University-0.440.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Wilkinson | 13.8% | 12.7% | 14.6% | 10.2% | 11.1% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 5.6% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Will Paulsen | 7.4% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicolai Sponholtz | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hailey Thompson | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Rohr | 8.4% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Abraham Dearden | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Will Cefali | 6.0% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Caitlyn Shum | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 11.8% | 12.8% | 0.0% |
| James Melvin | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Liam Patrick | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 0.0% |
| Austin Hauter | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matt Long | 25.1% | 20.8% | 16.9% | 10.4% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Liam Patrick | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Dorn | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Margot Mason | 1.7% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Clements | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Josefina Ruggieri | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Gillian Dean | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 0.0% |
| Hayden Lahr | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Gabriel Sanchez | 1.5% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 0.0% |
| Joanna Garcia | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 0.0% |
| Parker Kulavic | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 11.7% | 14.8% | 0.0% |
| Jodie Jacobs | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 0.0% |
| Francine Brownell | 0.7% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 9.4% | 14.7% | 20.7% | 0.0% |
| Allison Glover | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.