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📊 Prediction Accuracy
28.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
25
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara2.91+2.32vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii2.28+3.11vs Predicted
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3University of Southern California1.72+4.05vs Predicted
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4Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.34+4.65vs Predicted
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5California State University Monterey Bay-0.52+12.07vs Predicted
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6California Poly Maritime Academy1.81+0.67vs Predicted
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7University of California at Berkeley1.57+0.55vs Predicted
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8University of California at San Diego1.45+0.10vs Predicted
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9San Diego State University-0.25+6.78vs Predicted
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10California State University Monterey Bay-0.52+7.07vs Predicted
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11California Poly Maritime Academy0.46+1.61vs Predicted
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12University of California at Santa Barbara0.58+0.11vs Predicted
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13California State University Channel Islands0.15+1.06vs Predicted
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14University of California at Irvine-0.71+4.26vs Predicted
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15University of Washington0.79-4.12vs Predicted
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16University of Victoria-0.62+1.84vs Predicted
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17University of Hawaii0.87-6.39vs Predicted
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18University of California at Santa Cruz0.26-4.51vs Predicted
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19University of California at Los Angeles0.52-6.63vs Predicted
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20University of California at Berkeley0.37-7.27vs Predicted
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21University of Victoria-0.56-3.84vs Predicted
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22University of California at Davis-0.38-5.21vs Predicted
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23University of Washington-0.27-6.93vs Predicted
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24Santa Clara University-0.44-7.23vs Predicted
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25University of California at Santa Cruz-0.93-6.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.32University of California at Santa Barbara2.910.3%1st Place
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5.11University of Hawaii2.280.1%1st Place
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7.05University of Southern California1.720.1%1st Place
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8.65Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.340.1%1st Place
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17.07California State University Monterey Bay-0.520.0%1st Place
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6.67California Poly Maritime Academy1.810.1%1st Place
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7.55University of California at Berkeley1.570.1%1st Place
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8.1University of California at San Diego1.450.1%1st Place
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15.78San Diego State University-0.250.0%1st Place
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17.07California State University Monterey Bay-0.520.0%1st Place
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12.61California Poly Maritime Academy0.460.0%1st Place
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12.11University of California at Santa Barbara0.580.0%1st Place
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14.06California State University Channel Islands0.150.0%1st Place
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18.26University of California at Irvine-0.710.0%1st Place
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10.88University of Washington0.790.0%1st Place
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17.84University of Victoria-0.620.0%1st Place
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10.61University of Hawaii0.870.0%1st Place
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13.49University of California at Santa Cruz0.260.0%1st Place
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12.37University of California at Los Angeles0.520.0%1st Place
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12.73University of California at Berkeley0.370.0%1st Place
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17.16University of Victoria-0.560.0%1st Place
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16.79University of California at Davis-0.380.0%1st Place
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16.07University of Washington-0.270.0%1st Place
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16.77Santa Clara University-0.440.0%1st Place
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18.96University of California at Santa Cruz-0.930.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matt Long | 25.6% | 19.4% | 15.9% | 13.9% | 9.7% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Wilkinson | 11.8% | 13.1% | 12.7% | 12.3% | 11.6% | 10.2% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Will Paulsen | 7.4% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Will Cefali | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Liam Patrick | 0.4% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Rohr | 8.9% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicolai Sponholtz | 6.3% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Dorn | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Gillian Dean | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 4.8% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 0.0% |
| Liam Patrick | 0.4% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 0.0% |
| Hailey Thompson | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Margot Mason | 2.8% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Clements | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Parker Kulavic | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 12.4% | 14.3% | 0.0% |
| Austin Hauter | 2.6% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Caitlyn Shum | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 11.1% | 12.0% | 12.0% | 0.0% |
| Hayden Lahr | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Melvin | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Abraham Dearden | 3.1% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Josefina Ruggieri | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Gabriel Sanchez | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 10.7% | 0.0% |
| Jodie Jacobs | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 0.0% |
| Joanna Garcia | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 0.0% |
| Allison Glover | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 0.0% |
| Francine Brownell | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 8.6% | 10.7% | 12.3% | 21.5% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.