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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Virginia Tech1.15+1.24vs Predicted
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2Christopher Newport University0.82+0.56vs Predicted
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3Virginia Tech1.15-0.76vs Predicted
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4William and Mary1.06-1.70vs Predicted
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5University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.73+0.64vs Predicted
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6North Carolina State University-1.76-0.37vs Predicted
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7University of Maryland-0.33-3.06vs Predicted
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8American University-1.94-2.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.24Virginia Tech1.150.3%1st Place
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2.56Christopher Newport University0.820.2%1st Place
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2.24Virginia Tech1.150.3%1st Place
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2.3William and Mary1.060.3%1st Place
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5.64University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.730.0%1st Place
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5.63North Carolina State University-1.760.0%1st Place
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3.94University of Maryland-0.330.1%1st Place
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5.7American University-1.940.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Brady | 33.9% | 30.0% | 19.9% | 11.3% | 4.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ian O'Connell | 24.3% | 25.1% | 28.6% | 15.7% | 5.2% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Brady | 33.9% | 30.0% | 19.9% | 11.3% | 4.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Miguel Monllor | 30.6% | 29.2% | 24.3% | 12.2% | 3.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Engbert | 0.7% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 10.3% | 22.4% | 30.4% | 30.3% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Calhoun | 1.1% | 1.8% | 5.0% | 9.1% | 22.8% | 28.9% | 31.3% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Stoner | 7.7% | 9.0% | 15.2% | 32.8% | 22.1% | 10.9% | 2.3% | 0.0% |
| Jordan Manowitz | 1.7% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 8.6% | 19.9% | 28.0% | 35.8% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.