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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1William and Mary1.06+1.34vs Predicted
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2Christopher Newport University0.82+0.55vs Predicted
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3Virginia Tech1.15-0.78vs Predicted
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4Virginia Tech1.15-1.78vs Predicted
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5University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.73+0.63vs Predicted
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6American University-1.94-0.17vs Predicted
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7North Carolina State University-1.76-1.39vs Predicted
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8University of Maryland-0.33-4.18vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.34William and Mary1.060.3%1st Place
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2.55Christopher Newport University0.820.2%1st Place
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2.22Virginia Tech1.150.3%1st Place
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2.22Virginia Tech1.150.3%1st Place
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5.63University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.730.0%1st Place
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5.83American University-1.940.0%1st Place
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5.61North Carolina State University-1.760.0%1st Place
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3.82University of Maryland-0.330.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miguel Monllor | 30.5% | 29.3% | 22.1% | 12.2% | 5.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian O'Connell | 23.7% | 25.7% | 28.8% | 16.5% | 4.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Brady | 33.4% | 28.7% | 23.7% | 11.6% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Brady | 33.4% | 28.7% | 23.7% | 11.6% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Engbert | 0.5% | 2.1% | 3.9% | 10.0% | 22.3% | 33.4% | 27.8% | 0.0% |
| Jordan Manowitz | 1.2% | 1.6% | 3.9% | 6.6% | 19.4% | 27.9% | 39.4% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Calhoun | 1.6% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 8.2% | 25.3% | 28.6% | 30.5% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Stoner | 9.1% | 10.5% | 13.9% | 34.9% | 21.4% | 8.0% | 2.2% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.