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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Christopher Newport University0.71+1.66vs Predicted
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2William and Mary1.06+0.27vs Predicted
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3University of Maryland-0.33+0.91vs Predicted
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4Virginia Tech1.15-1.74vs Predicted
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5Virginia Tech1.15-2.74vs Predicted
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6University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.73-0.39vs Predicted
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7North Carolina State University-1.76-1.40vs Predicted
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8American University-1.94-2.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.66Christopher Newport University0.710.2%1st Place
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2.27William and Mary1.060.3%1st Place
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3.91University of Maryland-0.330.1%1st Place
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2.26Virginia Tech1.150.3%1st Place
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2.26Virginia Tech1.150.3%1st Place
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5.61University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.730.0%1st Place
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5.6North Carolina State University-1.760.0%1st Place
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5.71American University-1.940.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bailey Hurst | 23.8% | 24.0% | 26.4% | 17.1% | 6.4% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Miguel Monllor | 31.6% | 30.5% | 22.7% | 10.5% | 4.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Stoner | 8.0% | 8.8% | 16.9% | 33.4% | 19.5% | 10.6% | 2.8% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Brady | 32.3% | 28.4% | 24.1% | 12.1% | 2.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Brady | 32.3% | 28.4% | 24.1% | 12.1% | 2.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Engbert | 1.1% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 9.9% | 23.3% | 29.1% | 30.5% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Calhoun | 1.5% | 2.0% | 3.7% | 9.1% | 24.6% | 29.8% | 29.3% | 0.0% |
| Jordan Manowitz | 1.7% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 7.9% | 19.3% | 27.8% | 36.9% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.