← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Virginia Tech1.15+1.19vs Predicted
-
2William and Mary1.06+0.29vs Predicted
-
3Virginia Tech1.15-0.81vs Predicted
-
4University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.73+1.54vs Predicted
-
5Christopher Newport University0.71-2.29vs Predicted
-
6University of Maryland-0.33-2.03vs Predicted
-
7American University-1.94-1.21vs Predicted
-
8North Carolina State University-1.76-2.49vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.19Virginia Tech1.150.4%1st Place
-
2.29William and Mary1.060.3%1st Place
-
2.19Virginia Tech1.150.4%1st Place
-
5.54University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.730.0%1st Place
-
2.71Christopher Newport University0.710.2%1st Place
-
3.97University of Maryland-0.330.1%1st Place
-
5.79American University-1.940.0%1st Place
-
5.51North Carolina State University-1.760.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Brady | 36.3% | 27.2% | 22.3% | 10.5% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Miguel Monllor | 30.6% | 30.3% | 23.7% | 11.4% | 3.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Brady | 36.3% | 27.2% | 22.3% | 10.5% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Engbert | 2.4% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 8.7% | 23.3% | 29.0% | 30.1% | 0.0% |
| Bailey Hurst | 20.9% | 23.9% | 28.4% | 18.6% | 6.4% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Stoner | 6.3% | 10.1% | 15.7% | 33.2% | 20.5% | 11.1% | 3.1% | 0.0% |
| Jordan Manowitz | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 7.4% | 20.6% | 29.2% | 36.8% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Calhoun | 1.8% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 10.2% | 23.0% | 27.8% | 29.6% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.