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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1William and Mary1.06+1.30vs Predicted
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2University of Maryland-0.33+1.92vs Predicted
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3Christopher Newport University0.82-0.43vs Predicted
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4Virginia Tech1.15-1.74vs Predicted
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5Virginia Tech1.15-2.74vs Predicted
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6University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.73-0.39vs Predicted
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7American University-1.94-1.19vs Predicted
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8North Carolina State University-1.76-2.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.3William and Mary1.060.3%1st Place
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3.92University of Maryland-0.330.1%1st Place
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2.57Christopher Newport University0.820.2%1st Place
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2.26Virginia Tech1.150.3%1st Place
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2.26Virginia Tech1.150.3%1st Place
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5.61University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.730.0%1st Place
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5.81American University-1.940.0%1st Place
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5.52North Carolina State University-1.760.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miguel Monllor | 31.1% | 31.0% | 20.7% | 12.2% | 4.2% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Stoner | 7.4% | 9.1% | 15.8% | 33.9% | 21.4% | 10.0% | 2.4% | 0.0% |
| Ian O'Connell | 23.7% | 25.4% | 28.8% | 15.0% | 6.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Brady | 32.8% | 27.4% | 23.6% | 13.3% | 2.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Brady | 32.8% | 27.4% | 23.6% | 13.3% | 2.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Engbert | 1.5% | 1.9% | 4.5% | 9.0% | 23.1% | 29.5% | 30.5% | 0.0% |
| Jordan Manowitz | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 7.8% | 21.0% | 26.0% | 39.6% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Calhoun | 2.1% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 8.8% | 21.2% | 32.9% | 27.4% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.