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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland3.80+7.15vs Predicted
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2Boston College4.43+3.57vs Predicted
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3Harvard University3.67+5.60vs Predicted
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4Tufts University3.29+5.88vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University4.51+0.20vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College3.23+4.24vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy2.88+4.69vs Predicted
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8Yale University3.50+1.08vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College3.68-0.69vs Predicted
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10College of Charleston3.22+0.56vs Predicted
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11Old Dominion University3.76-2.85vs Predicted
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12George Washington University2.23+2.30vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.30-3.20vs Predicted
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14Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.60-5.61vs Predicted
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15Cornell University3.35-5.31vs Predicted
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16University of Pennsylvania2.79-3.83vs Predicted
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17University of South Florida3.29-6.84vs Predicted
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18Eckerd College3.00-6.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.15St. Mary's College of Maryland3.800.1%1st Place
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5.57Boston College4.430.1%1st Place
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8.6Harvard University3.670.1%1st Place
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9.88Tufts University3.290.0%1st Place
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5.2Georgetown University4.510.2%1st Place
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10.24Dartmouth College3.230.0%1st Place
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11.69U. S. Naval Academy2.880.0%1st Place
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9.08Yale University3.500.1%1st Place
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8.31Connecticut College3.680.1%1st Place
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10.56College of Charleston3.220.0%1st Place
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8.15Old Dominion University3.760.1%1st Place
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14.3George Washington University2.230.0%1st Place
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9.8U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.300.0%1st Place
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8.39Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.600.1%1st Place
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9.69Cornell University3.350.0%1st Place
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12.17University of Pennsylvania2.790.0%1st Place
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10.16University of South Florida3.290.0%1st Place
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11.07Eckerd College3.000.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Megan Magill | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.0% |
| Anne Haeger | 10.9% | 11.9% | 10.1% | 11.8% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Emily Lambert | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 1.1% |
| Catherine Swanson | 4.5% | 3.5% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 3.6% |
| Sydney Bolger | 15.3% | 15.1% | 10.7% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Chandler Salisbury | 4.6% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.2% |
| Marissa Lihan | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 12.0% | 9.0% |
| Claire Dennis | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 2.1% |
| Maggie Shea | 5.3% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 1.0% |
| Corey Hall | 4.6% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 5.4% |
| Stephanie Roble | 7.2% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 1.5% |
| Meredith Carroll | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 14.0% | 34.7% |
| Krysta Rohde | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 4.5% |
| Caroline Patten | 6.2% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 2.3% | 2.1% |
| Lauren Turner | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 3.1% |
| Amanda Johnson | 2.8% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 11.5% | 13.2% |
| Abby Featherstone | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 4.2% |
| Charlotte Dorris | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 8.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.