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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Michigan2.03+7.31vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College2.24+5.47vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University2.14+4.82vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara1.67+5.40vs Predicted
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5Fordham University2.04+3.03vs Predicted
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6University of Wisconsin1.26+5.24vs Predicted
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7Jacksonville University2.55-0.97vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland2.31-1.07vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont2.13-1.43vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University2.36-2.95vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University1.82-1.89vs Predicted
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12Eckerd College0.85+1.07vs Predicted
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13Georgetown University1.86-4.34vs Predicted
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14Christopher Newport University1.35-3.41vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.30-3.94vs Predicted
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16SUNY Maritime College0.49-1.80vs Predicted
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17Tulane University0.32-2.39vs Predicted
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18Boston University1.55-8.13vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.31University of Michigan2.030.1%1st Place
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7.47Bowdoin College2.240.1%1st Place
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7.82Old Dominion University2.140.1%1st Place
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9.4University of California at Santa Barbara1.670.1%1st Place
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8.03Fordham University2.040.1%1st Place
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11.24University of Wisconsin1.260.0%1st Place
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6.03Jacksonville University2.550.1%1st Place
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6.93St. Mary's College of Maryland2.310.1%1st Place
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7.57University of Vermont2.130.1%1st Place
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7.05Roger Williams University2.360.1%1st Place
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9.11Northeastern University1.820.1%1st Place
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13.07Eckerd College0.850.0%1st Place
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8.66Georgetown University1.860.1%1st Place
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10.59Christopher Newport University1.350.0%1st Place
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11.06Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.300.0%1st Place
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14.2SUNY Maritime College0.490.0%1st Place
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14.61Tulane University0.320.0%1st Place
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9.87Boston University1.550.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jenna Probst | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 0.5% |
| Claire Havig | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% |
| Olivia Windemuller | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Madeline Kraus | 5.8% | 4.0% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 3.5% | 2.2% |
| Grace Howie | 6.4% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 0.6% |
| Erin Sullivan | 3.5% | 2.1% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 10.6% | 9.4% | 5.6% |
| Charlotte Rose | 10.7% | 12.5% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Ellie Ungar | 9.1% | 9.9% | 7.1% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Lolly Vasilion | 7.3% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Kelsey Shakin | 9.7% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Carolyn Corbet | 5.5% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 1.8% |
| Ainsley Parramore | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 11.4% | 18.1% | 14.0% |
| Riley Kloc | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 0.9% |
| Anna Patterson | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 10.3% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 4.1% |
| Meredith Julian | 2.8% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 8.1% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 6.2% |
| Clara Guarascio | 1.4% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 11.9% | 16.0% | 27.0% |
| Katherine Byrnes | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 9.8% | 18.3% | 32.9% |
| Carina Becker | 4.7% | 5.7% | 2.3% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 2.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.