← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Michigan2.03+7.30vs Predicted
-
2Old Dominion University2.14+5.87vs Predicted
-
3Jacksonville University2.55+3.28vs Predicted
-
4Eckerd College0.85+8.67vs Predicted
-
5Christopher Newport University1.35+5.76vs Predicted
-
6Bowdoin College2.24+1.21vs Predicted
-
7Fordham University2.04+1.04vs Predicted
-
8Northeastern University1.82+0.87vs Predicted
-
9University of Vermont2.13-1.42vs Predicted
-
10Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.30+1.33vs Predicted
-
11Georgetown University1.86-1.98vs Predicted
-
12Roger Williams University2.36-4.89vs Predicted
-
13University of California at Santa Barbara1.67-3.61vs Predicted
-
14University of Wisconsin1.26-3.06vs Predicted
-
15St. Mary's College of Maryland2.31-8.08vs Predicted
-
16Tulane University0.32-1.32vs Predicted
-
17SUNY Maritime College0.49-2.88vs Predicted
-
18Boston University1.55-8.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
8.3University of Michigan2.030.1%1st Place
-
7.87Old Dominion University2.140.1%1st Place
-
6.28Jacksonville University2.550.1%1st Place
-
12.67Eckerd College0.850.0%1st Place
-
10.76Christopher Newport University1.350.0%1st Place
-
7.21Bowdoin College2.240.1%1st Place
-
8.04Fordham University2.040.1%1st Place
-
8.87Northeastern University1.820.1%1st Place
-
7.58University of Vermont2.130.1%1st Place
-
11.33Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.300.0%1st Place
-
9.02Georgetown University1.860.1%1st Place
-
7.11Roger Williams University2.360.1%1st Place
-
9.39University of California at Santa Barbara1.670.1%1st Place
-
10.94University of Wisconsin1.260.0%1st Place
-
6.92St. Mary's College of Maryland2.310.1%1st Place
-
14.68Tulane University0.320.0%1st Place
-
14.12SUNY Maritime College0.490.0%1st Place
-
9.88Boston University1.550.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jenna Probst | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 1.6% | 0.7% |
| Olivia Windemuller | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Charlotte Rose | 9.8% | 10.1% | 10.7% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Ainsley Parramore | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 8.8% | 11.6% | 15.0% | 13.7% |
| Anna Patterson | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 4.6% |
| Claire Havig | 8.5% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Grace Howie | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 0.4% |
| Carolyn Corbet | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 0.9% |
| Lolly Vasilion | 6.8% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Meredith Julian | 4.0% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 10.7% | 10.1% | 5.6% |
| Riley Kloc | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 1.4% |
| Kelsey Shakin | 9.0% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.5% |
| Madeline Kraus | 5.8% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 3.4% | 2.4% |
| Erin Sullivan | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 5.2% |
| Ellie Ungar | 9.5% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Katherine Byrnes | 1.0% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 15.8% | 34.5% |
| Clara Guarascio | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 10.1% | 17.0% | 27.2% |
| Carina Becker | 4.8% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 2.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.