← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1St. Mary's College of Maryland2.31+6.19vs Predicted
-
2Fordham University2.04+6.25vs Predicted
-
3Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.30+8.26vs Predicted
-
4Jacksonville University2.55+2.06vs Predicted
-
5Roger Williams University2.36+1.74vs Predicted
-
6Northeastern University1.82+2.96vs Predicted
-
7SUNY Maritime College0.49+6.97vs Predicted
-
8University of California at Santa Barbara1.67+1.41vs Predicted
-
9Bowdoin College2.24-1.83vs Predicted
-
10University of Michigan2.03-1.66vs Predicted
-
11University of Wisconsin1.26+0.35vs Predicted
-
12Georgetown University1.86-2.86vs Predicted
-
13Christopher Newport University1.35-2.27vs Predicted
-
14University of Vermont2.13-6.59vs Predicted
-
15Eckerd College0.85-2.24vs Predicted
-
16Old Dominion University2.14-8.28vs Predicted
-
17Tulane University0.32-2.34vs Predicted
-
18Boston University1.55-8.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.19St. Mary's College of Maryland2.310.1%1st Place
-
8.25Fordham University2.040.1%1st Place
-
11.26Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.300.0%1st Place
-
6.06Jacksonville University2.550.1%1st Place
-
6.74Roger Williams University2.360.1%1st Place
-
8.96Northeastern University1.820.1%1st Place
-
13.97SUNY Maritime College0.490.0%1st Place
-
9.41University of California at Santa Barbara1.670.1%1st Place
-
7.17Bowdoin College2.240.1%1st Place
-
8.34University of Michigan2.030.1%1st Place
-
11.35University of Wisconsin1.260.0%1st Place
-
9.14Georgetown University1.860.1%1st Place
-
10.73Christopher Newport University1.350.0%1st Place
-
7.41University of Vermont2.130.1%1st Place
-
12.76Eckerd College0.850.0%1st Place
-
7.72Old Dominion University2.140.1%1st Place
-
14.66Tulane University0.320.0%1st Place
-
9.88Boston University1.550.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ellie Ungar | 7.9% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.4% |
| Grace Howie | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Meredith Julian | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 5.2% |
| Charlotte Rose | 11.4% | 11.9% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.3% |
| Kelsey Shakin | 9.8% | 10.9% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| Carolyn Corbet | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 1.1% |
| Clara Guarascio | 2.1% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 7.4% | 10.0% | 19.8% | 25.1% |
| Madeline Kraus | 5.1% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 3.3% | 2.1% |
| Claire Havig | 7.4% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.4% |
| Jenna Probst | 7.7% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 0.6% |
| Erin Sullivan | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 11.0% | 8.8% | 6.4% |
| Riley Kloc | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 1.3% |
| Anna Patterson | 4.4% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 4.1% |
| Lolly Vasilion | 7.3% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Ainsley Parramore | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 11.1% | 12.5% | 15.0% |
| Olivia Windemuller | 6.6% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| Katherine Byrnes | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 11.0% | 16.7% | 33.9% |
| Carina Becker | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 2.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.