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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Michigan2.03+7.27vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland2.31+5.13vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College2.24+4.43vs Predicted
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4Fordham University2.04+3.98vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont2.13+2.60vs Predicted
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6University of Wisconsin1.26+5.23vs Predicted
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7Eckerd College0.85+5.76vs Predicted
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8Christopher Newport University1.35+2.82vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University1.82-0.10vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University2.36-2.96vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.30+0.18vs Predicted
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12Old Dominion University2.14-3.94vs Predicted
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13SUNY Maritime College0.49+0.89vs Predicted
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14Jacksonville University2.55-8.13vs Predicted
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15University of California at Santa Barbara1.67-5.51vs Predicted
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16Tulane University0.32-1.41vs Predicted
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17Boston University1.55-6.83vs Predicted
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18Georgetown University1.86-9.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.27University of Michigan2.030.1%1st Place
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7.13St. Mary's College of Maryland2.310.1%1st Place
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7.43Bowdoin College2.240.1%1st Place
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7.98Fordham University2.040.1%1st Place
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7.6University of Vermont2.130.1%1st Place
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11.23University of Wisconsin1.260.0%1st Place
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12.76Eckerd College0.850.0%1st Place
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10.82Christopher Newport University1.350.0%1st Place
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8.9Northeastern University1.820.0%1st Place
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7.04Roger Williams University2.360.1%1st Place
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11.18Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.300.0%1st Place
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8.06Old Dominion University2.140.1%1st Place
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13.89SUNY Maritime College0.490.0%1st Place
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5.87Jacksonville University2.550.1%1st Place
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9.49University of California at Santa Barbara1.670.0%1st Place
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14.59Tulane University0.320.0%1st Place
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10.17Boston University1.550.0%1st Place
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8.59Georgetown University1.860.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jenna Probst | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
| Ellie Ungar | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Claire Havig | 7.8% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Grace Howie | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 0.6% |
| Lolly Vasilion | 7.6% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| Erin Sullivan | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 6.6% |
| Ainsley Parramore | 2.5% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 9.1% | 11.8% | 15.5% | 13.4% |
| Anna Patterson | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 10.2% | 7.2% | 4.7% |
| Carolyn Corbet | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 1.2% |
| Kelsey Shakin | 9.8% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Meredith Julian | 3.8% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 5.4% |
| Olivia Windemuller | 6.9% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.7% |
| Clara Guarascio | 1.6% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 10.3% | 17.6% | 25.3% |
| Charlotte Rose | 11.7% | 13.1% | 9.1% | 10.5% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Madeline Kraus | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 2.4% |
| Katherine Byrnes | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 16.6% | 32.8% |
| Carina Becker | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 3.5% |
| Riley Kloc | 5.7% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.