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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland2.31+6.18vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College2.24+5.43vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University1.82+6.17vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.30+6.91vs Predicted
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5Eckerd College0.85+7.64vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont2.13+1.66vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Barbara1.67+2.55vs Predicted
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8SUNY Maritime College0.49+5.90vs Predicted
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9Fordham University2.04-0.97vs Predicted
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10University of Michigan2.03-1.65vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University2.36-4.12vs Predicted
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12University of Wisconsin1.26-0.39vs Predicted
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13Christopher Newport University1.35-2.28vs Predicted
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14Jacksonville University2.55-8.10vs Predicted
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15Georgetown University1.86-6.25vs Predicted
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16Tulane University0.32-1.38vs Predicted
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17Old Dominion University2.14-9.17vs Predicted
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18Boston University1.55-8.13vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.18St. Mary's College of Maryland2.310.1%1st Place
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7.43Bowdoin College2.240.1%1st Place
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9.17Northeastern University1.820.0%1st Place
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10.91Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.300.0%1st Place
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12.64Eckerd College0.850.0%1st Place
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7.66University of Vermont2.130.1%1st Place
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9.55University of California at Santa Barbara1.670.1%1st Place
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13.9SUNY Maritime College0.490.0%1st Place
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8.03Fordham University2.040.1%1st Place
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8.35University of Michigan2.030.1%1st Place
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6.88Roger Williams University2.360.1%1st Place
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11.61University of Wisconsin1.260.0%1st Place
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10.72Christopher Newport University1.350.0%1st Place
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5.9Jacksonville University2.550.1%1st Place
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8.75Georgetown University1.860.1%1st Place
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14.62Tulane University0.320.0%1st Place
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7.83Old Dominion University2.140.1%1st Place
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9.87Boston University1.550.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ellie Ungar | 7.5% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Claire Havig | 6.6% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Carolyn Corbet | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 0.8% |
| Meredith Julian | 3.5% | 2.4% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 5.3% |
| Ainsley Parramore | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 9.8% | 10.6% | 15.2% | 13.3% |
| Lolly Vasilion | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Madeline Kraus | 5.2% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 2.1% |
| Clara Guarascio | 1.9% | 0.9% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 11.7% | 17.5% | 25.0% |
| Grace Howie | 5.9% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| Jenna Probst | 7.3% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 0.5% |
| Kelsey Shakin | 9.2% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Erin Sullivan | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 10.6% | 7.6% |
| Anna Patterson | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 4.9% |
| Charlotte Rose | 12.6% | 12.3% | 10.8% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Riley Kloc | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 1.3% |
| Katherine Byrnes | 0.9% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 10.0% | 15.6% | 34.1% |
| Olivia Windemuller | 8.5% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Carina Becker | 4.9% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 3.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.