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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.36+6.00vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University2.14+5.85vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.30+8.28vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College2.24+3.24vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara1.67+4.40vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University1.82+2.92vs Predicted
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7Jacksonville University2.55-0.94vs Predicted
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8University of Michigan2.030.00vs Predicted
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9Georgetown University1.86-0.25vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland2.31-2.74vs Predicted
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11Fordham University2.04-2.84vs Predicted
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12Eckerd College0.85+1.07vs Predicted
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13University of Wisconsin1.26-1.94vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont2.13-6.61vs Predicted
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15Tulane University0.32-0.48vs Predicted
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16SUNY Maritime College0.49-1.87vs Predicted
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17Christopher Newport University1.35-5.96vs Predicted
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18Boston University1.55-8.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.0Roger Williams University2.360.1%1st Place
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7.85Old Dominion University2.140.1%1st Place
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11.28Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.300.0%1st Place
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7.24Bowdoin College2.240.1%1st Place
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9.4University of California at Santa Barbara1.670.1%1st Place
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8.92Northeastern University1.820.1%1st Place
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6.06Jacksonville University2.550.1%1st Place
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8.0University of Michigan2.030.1%1st Place
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8.75Georgetown University1.860.0%1st Place
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7.26St. Mary's College of Maryland2.310.1%1st Place
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8.16Fordham University2.040.1%1st Place
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13.07Eckerd College0.850.0%1st Place
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11.06University of Wisconsin1.260.0%1st Place
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7.39University of Vermont2.130.1%1st Place
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14.52Tulane University0.320.0%1st Place
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14.13SUNY Maritime College0.490.0%1st Place
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11.04Christopher Newport University1.350.0%1st Place
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9.9Boston University1.550.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelsey Shakin | 8.2% | 10.0% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Olivia Windemuller | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Meredith Julian | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 11.5% | 8.8% | 4.9% |
| Claire Havig | 9.4% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| Madeline Kraus | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 1.6% |
| Carolyn Corbet | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 4.7% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 3.0% | 1.3% |
| Charlotte Rose | 10.9% | 11.8% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 10.6% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Jenna Probst | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.9% |
| Riley Kloc | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 1.7% | 1.3% |
| Ellie Ungar | 9.2% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Grace Howie | 7.8% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 0.9% |
| Ainsley Parramore | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 16.0% | 16.6% |
| Erin Sullivan | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 5.6% |
| Lolly Vasilion | 8.0% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Katherine Byrnes | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 17.5% | 31.5% |
| Clara Guarascio | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 17.4% | 25.5% |
| Anna Patterson | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 10.3% | 7.9% | 4.9% |
| Carina Becker | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 3.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.