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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College2.03+7.60vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.64+4.12vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont2.13+5.10vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University2.14+3.85vs Predicted
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5Jacksonville University2.55+1.33vs Predicted
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6Christopher Newport University1.35+5.18vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University2.36+0.01vs Predicted
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8Fordham University2.04+0.22vs Predicted
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9University of Wisconsin1.26+2.49vs Predicted
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10Eckerd College0.85+3.20vs Predicted
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11University of Michigan2.03-2.48vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University1.82-2.44vs Predicted
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13University of California at Santa Barbara1.67-3.33vs Predicted
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14Georgetown University1.86-5.28vs Predicted
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15SUNY Maritime College0.49-0.84vs Predicted
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16Tulane University0.32-1.26vs Predicted
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17St. Mary's College of Maryland2.31-9.57vs Predicted
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18Boston University1.55-7.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.6Bowdoin College2.030.1%1st Place
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6.12Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.640.1%1st Place
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8.1University of Vermont2.130.1%1st Place
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7.85Old Dominion University2.140.1%1st Place
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6.33Jacksonville University2.550.1%1st Place
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11.18Christopher Newport University1.350.0%1st Place
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7.01Roger Williams University2.360.1%1st Place
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8.22Fordham University2.040.1%1st Place
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11.49University of Wisconsin1.260.0%1st Place
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13.2Eckerd College0.850.0%1st Place
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8.52University of Michigan2.030.1%1st Place
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9.56Northeastern University1.820.0%1st Place
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9.67University of California at Santa Barbara1.670.0%1st Place
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8.72Georgetown University1.860.1%1st Place
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14.16SUNY Maritime College0.490.0%1st Place
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14.74Tulane University0.320.0%1st Place
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7.43St. Mary's College of Maryland2.310.1%1st Place
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10.12Boston University1.550.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ellie Maus | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 1.2% |
| Dana Haig | 8.6% | 11.2% | 9.6% | 11.1% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Lolly Vasilion | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Olivia Windemuller | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 0.5% |
| Charlotte Rose | 10.7% | 11.5% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Anna Patterson | 3.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 5.7% |
| Kelsey Shakin | 9.1% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Grace Howie | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| Erin Sullivan | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 6.0% |
| Ainsley Parramore | 2.2% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 12.3% | 16.3% | 15.7% |
| Jenna Probst | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 0.9% |
| Carolyn Corbet | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 4.0% | 1.9% |
| Madeline Kraus | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 2.3% |
| Riley Kloc | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 3.0% | 1.0% |
| Clara Guarascio | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 10.8% | 17.2% | 25.9% |
| Katherine Byrnes | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 10.2% | 16.1% | 34.4% |
| Ellie Ungar | 9.3% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.5% |
| Carina Becker | 4.0% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 2.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.