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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Christopher Newport University1.35+10.30vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University2.14+6.16vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.64+3.17vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University1.86+4.96vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland2.31+2.20vs Predicted
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6Jacksonville University2.55+0.29vs Predicted
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7University of Wisconsin1.26+4.50vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University1.82+1.11vs Predicted
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9Fordham University2.04-0.74vs Predicted
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10University of California at Santa Barbara1.67+0.10vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University2.36-3.81vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont2.13-3.72vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College2.03-4.83vs Predicted
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14University of Michigan2.03-5.96vs Predicted
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15SUNY Maritime College0.49-0.82vs Predicted
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16Eckerd College0.85-2.87vs Predicted
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17Tulane University0.32-2.22vs Predicted
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18Boston University1.55-7.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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11.3Christopher Newport University1.350.0%1st Place
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8.16Old Dominion University2.140.1%1st Place
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6.17Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.640.1%1st Place
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8.96Georgetown University1.860.1%1st Place
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7.2St. Mary's College of Maryland2.310.1%1st Place
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6.29Jacksonville University2.550.1%1st Place
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11.5University of Wisconsin1.260.0%1st Place
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9.11Northeastern University1.820.1%1st Place
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8.26Fordham University2.040.1%1st Place
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10.1University of California at Santa Barbara1.670.0%1st Place
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7.19Roger Williams University2.360.1%1st Place
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8.28University of Vermont2.130.1%1st Place
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8.17Bowdoin College2.030.1%1st Place
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8.04University of Michigan2.030.1%1st Place
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14.18SUNY Maritime College0.490.0%1st Place
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13.13Eckerd College0.850.0%1st Place
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14.78Tulane University0.320.0%1st Place
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10.18Boston University1.550.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anna Patterson | 3.1% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 5.8% |
| Olivia Windemuller | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Dana Haig | 9.8% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Riley Kloc | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 1.3% |
| Ellie Ungar | 9.2% | 10.1% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Charlotte Rose | 10.4% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Erin Sullivan | 3.3% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 10.6% | 10.5% | 9.3% | 6.4% |
| Carolyn Corbet | 5.4% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 3.0% | 1.4% |
| Grace Howie | 5.2% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Madeline Kraus | 4.9% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 1.9% |
| Kelsey Shakin | 8.2% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.6% |
| Lolly Vasilion | 6.5% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 0.8% |
| Ellie Maus | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 0.5% |
| Jenna Probst | 6.5% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 0.7% |
| Clara Guarascio | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 10.5% | 18.0% | 25.8% |
| Ainsley Parramore | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 10.8% | 15.1% | 16.5% |
| Katherine Byrnes | 1.5% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 17.3% | 34.6% |
| Carina Becker | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 5.2% | 2.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.