← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Michigan2.03+7.51vs Predicted
-
2Christopher Newport University1.35+9.46vs Predicted
-
3Roger Williams University2.36+4.24vs Predicted
-
4University of California at Santa Barbara1.67+5.69vs Predicted
-
5Georgetown University1.86+3.96vs Predicted
-
6Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.64+0.06vs Predicted
-
7Jacksonville University2.55-0.70vs Predicted
-
8Fordham University2.04+0.21vs Predicted
-
9University of Vermont2.13-1.13vs Predicted
-
10Old Dominion University2.14-1.81vs Predicted
-
11Northeastern University1.82-1.71vs Predicted
-
12Bowdoin College2.03-3.28vs Predicted
-
13Eckerd College0.85-0.17vs Predicted
-
14St. Mary's College of Maryland2.31-6.96vs Predicted
-
15University of Wisconsin1.26-3.54vs Predicted
-
16Tulane University0.32-1.22vs Predicted
-
17SUNY Maritime College0.49-2.69vs Predicted
-
18Boston University1.55-7.92vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
8.51University of Michigan2.030.1%1st Place
-
11.46Christopher Newport University1.350.0%1st Place
-
7.24Roger Williams University2.360.1%1st Place
-
9.69University of California at Santa Barbara1.670.1%1st Place
-
8.96Georgetown University1.860.0%1st Place
-
6.06Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.640.1%1st Place
-
6.3Jacksonville University2.550.1%1st Place
-
8.21Fordham University2.040.1%1st Place
-
7.87University of Vermont2.130.1%1st Place
-
8.19Old Dominion University2.140.1%1st Place
-
9.29Northeastern University1.820.1%1st Place
-
8.72Bowdoin College2.030.1%1st Place
-
12.83Eckerd College0.850.0%1st Place
-
7.04St. Mary's College of Maryland2.310.1%1st Place
-
11.46University of Wisconsin1.260.0%1st Place
-
14.78Tulane University0.320.0%1st Place
-
14.31SUNY Maritime College0.490.0%1st Place
-
10.08Boston University1.550.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jenna Probst | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 2.3% | 0.7% |
| Anna Patterson | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 5.1% |
| Kelsey Shakin | 8.1% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Madeline Kraus | 5.1% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 3.1% |
| Riley Kloc | 4.9% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 1.2% |
| Dana Haig | 11.1% | 10.7% | 8.6% | 10.8% | 12.1% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte Rose | 10.1% | 11.2% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Grace Howie | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Lolly Vasilion | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Olivia Windemuller | 7.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Carolyn Corbet | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 1.6% |
| Ellie Maus | 6.2% | 4.3% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 1.0% |
| Ainsley Parramore | 2.4% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 9.1% | 12.5% | 14.1% | 14.8% |
| Ellie Ungar | 8.5% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Erin Sullivan | 2.5% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 11.6% | 5.5% |
| Katherine Byrnes | 1.1% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 17.7% | 34.2% |
| Clara Guarascio | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 11.5% | 17.5% | 28.4% |
| Carina Becker | 4.6% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 2.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.