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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont2.13+7.12vs Predicted
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2Eckerd College0.85+11.38vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University2.14+5.13vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University1.86+4.93vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University2.36+2.04vs Predicted
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6Christopher Newport University1.35+5.18vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.64-0.98vs Predicted
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8Fordham University2.04+0.25vs Predicted
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9University of Michigan2.03-0.76vs Predicted
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10University of California at Santa Barbara1.67+0.01vs Predicted
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11St. Mary's College of Maryland2.31-3.68vs Predicted
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12Jacksonville University2.55-5.36vs Predicted
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13University of Wisconsin1.26-1.68vs Predicted
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14Bowdoin College2.03-5.96vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University1.82-5.85vs Predicted
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16Tulane University0.32-1.23vs Predicted
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17SUNY Maritime College0.49-2.68vs Predicted
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18Boston University1.55-7.86vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.12University of Vermont2.130.1%1st Place
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13.38Eckerd College0.850.0%1st Place
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8.13Old Dominion University2.140.1%1st Place
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8.93Georgetown University1.860.1%1st Place
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7.04Roger Williams University2.360.1%1st Place
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11.18Christopher Newport University1.350.0%1st Place
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6.02Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.640.1%1st Place
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8.25Fordham University2.040.1%1st Place
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8.24University of Michigan2.030.1%1st Place
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10.01University of California at Santa Barbara1.670.1%1st Place
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7.32St. Mary's College of Maryland2.310.1%1st Place
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6.64Jacksonville University2.550.1%1st Place
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11.32University of Wisconsin1.260.0%1st Place
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8.04Bowdoin College2.030.1%1st Place
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9.15Northeastern University1.820.1%1st Place
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14.77Tulane University0.320.0%1st Place
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14.32SUNY Maritime College0.490.0%1st Place
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10.14Boston University1.550.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lolly Vasilion | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Ainsley Parramore | 0.9% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 9.1% | 13.4% | 16.7% | 15.5% |
| Olivia Windemuller | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Riley Kloc | 5.6% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 8.4% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 1.7% |
| Kelsey Shakin | 9.0% | 10.0% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Anna Patterson | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 8.7% | 5.0% |
| Dana Haig | 11.1% | 11.4% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Grace Howie | 6.8% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Jenna Probst | 5.9% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Madeline Kraus | 5.1% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 2.6% |
| Ellie Ungar | 8.6% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Charlotte Rose | 10.6% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Erin Sullivan | 3.4% | 2.1% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 5.6% |
| Ellie Maus | 6.0% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 0.9% |
| Carolyn Corbet | 5.4% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 1.5% |
| Katherine Byrnes | 1.0% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 16.6% | 34.4% |
| Clara Guarascio | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 10.2% | 18.4% | 28.1% |
| Carina Becker | 4.3% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 2.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.