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📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.1%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University2.55+5.54vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College2.03+6.49vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.64+3.06vs Predicted
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4Fordham University2.04+4.22vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University2.14+2.88vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University1.86+3.09vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Barbara1.67+2.84vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont2.13-0.09vs Predicted
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9SUNY Maritime College0.49+5.24vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University2.36-2.70vs Predicted
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11Eckerd College0.85+2.13vs Predicted
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12University of Michigan2.03-3.30vs Predicted
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13Tulane University0.32+1.51vs Predicted
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14Christopher Newport University1.35-3.16vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University1.82-5.84vs Predicted
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16University of Wisconsin1.26-4.45vs Predicted
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17St. Mary's College of Maryland2.31-9.61vs Predicted
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18Boston University1.55-7.85vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.54Jacksonville University2.550.1%1st Place
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8.49Bowdoin College2.030.1%1st Place
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6.06Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.640.1%1st Place
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8.22Fordham University2.040.1%1st Place
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7.88Old Dominion University2.140.1%1st Place
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9.09Georgetown University1.860.1%1st Place
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9.84University of California at Santa Barbara1.670.0%1st Place
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7.91University of Vermont2.130.1%1st Place
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14.24SUNY Maritime College0.490.0%1st Place
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7.3Roger Williams University2.360.1%1st Place
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13.13Eckerd College0.850.0%1st Place
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8.7University of Michigan2.030.1%1st Place
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14.51Tulane University0.320.0%1st Place
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10.84Christopher Newport University1.350.0%1st Place
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9.16Northeastern University1.820.0%1st Place
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11.55University of Wisconsin1.260.0%1st Place
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7.39St. Mary's College of Maryland2.310.1%1st Place
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10.15Boston University1.550.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlotte Rose | 9.6% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Ellie Maus | 5.6% | 4.6% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.8% |
| Dana Haig | 10.5% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Grace Howie | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 1.7% | 1.0% |
| Olivia Windemuller | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.1% |
| Riley Kloc | 5.5% | 4.1% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 1.4% |
| Madeline Kraus | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 4.4% | 2.2% |
| Lolly Vasilion | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Clara Guarascio | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 12.4% | 18.3% | 26.2% |
| Kelsey Shakin | 8.7% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Ainsley Parramore | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 12.5% | 14.8% | 16.7% |
| Jenna Probst | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 2.3% | 0.8% |
| Katherine Byrnes | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 9.6% | 18.3% | 32.3% |
| Anna Patterson | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 4.9% |
| Carolyn Corbet | 4.8% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 0.8% |
| Erin Sullivan | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 7.3% |
| Ellie Ungar | 8.9% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Carina Becker | 4.2% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 4.5% | 3.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.