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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Michigan2.03+7.52vs Predicted
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2Christopher Newport University1.35+9.48vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.64+3.19vs Predicted
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4Jacksonville University2.55+2.27vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University2.36+2.00vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University2.14+1.93vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University1.86+2.04vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University1.82+1.13vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College2.03-0.78vs Predicted
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10Fordham University2.04-1.41vs Predicted
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11University of California at Santa Barbara1.67-1.06vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland2.31-4.47vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont2.13-5.26vs Predicted
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14University of Wisconsin1.26-2.83vs Predicted
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15Tulane University0.32-0.32vs Predicted
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16SUNY Maritime College0.49-1.68vs Predicted
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17Eckerd College0.85-3.83vs Predicted
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18Boston University1.55-7.90vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.52University of Michigan2.030.1%1st Place
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11.48Christopher Newport University1.350.0%1st Place
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6.19Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.640.1%1st Place
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6.27Jacksonville University2.550.1%1st Place
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7.0Roger Williams University2.360.1%1st Place
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7.93Old Dominion University2.140.1%1st Place
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9.04Georgetown University1.860.0%1st Place
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9.13Northeastern University1.820.1%1st Place
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8.22Bowdoin College2.030.1%1st Place
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8.59Fordham University2.040.1%1st Place
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9.94University of California at Santa Barbara1.670.1%1st Place
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7.53St. Mary's College of Maryland2.310.1%1st Place
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7.74University of Vermont2.130.1%1st Place
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11.17University of Wisconsin1.260.0%1st Place
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14.68Tulane University0.320.0%1st Place
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14.32SUNY Maritime College0.490.0%1st Place
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13.17Eckerd College0.850.0%1st Place
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10.1Boston University1.550.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jenna Probst | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 2.2% | 0.9% |
| Anna Patterson | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 5.6% |
| Dana Haig | 9.8% | 9.0% | 12.1% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte Rose | 10.7% | 11.4% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Kelsey Shakin | 9.1% | 10.6% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Olivia Windemuller | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| Riley Kloc | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 1.2% |
| Carolyn Corbet | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 1.1% |
| Ellie Maus | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Grace Howie | 7.5% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 0.6% |
| Madeline Kraus | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 2.7% |
| Ellie Ungar | 7.7% | 8.9% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Lolly Vasilion | 8.0% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Erin Sullivan | 3.2% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 10.2% | 10.6% | 8.1% | 5.9% |
| Katherine Byrnes | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 11.7% | 16.4% | 33.9% |
| Clara Guarascio | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 19.1% | 27.4% |
| Ainsley Parramore | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 9.6% | 10.5% | 17.0% | 15.4% |
| Carina Becker | 4.1% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 3.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.