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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University2.55+5.55vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara1.67+8.12vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University1.82+6.44vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University2.36+2.89vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College2.03+3.29vs Predicted
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6Eckerd College0.85+7.04vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University1.86+2.00vs Predicted
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8Christopher Newport University1.35+3.03vs Predicted
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9Fordham University2.04-0.73vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont2.13-1.82vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.64-4.93vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland2.31-4.43vs Predicted
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13SUNY Maritime College0.49+1.06vs Predicted
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14University of Michigan2.03-5.97vs Predicted
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15Old Dominion University2.14-7.14vs Predicted
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16University of Wisconsin1.26-4.45vs Predicted
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17Tulane University0.32-2.15vs Predicted
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18Boston University1.55-7.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.55Jacksonville University2.550.1%1st Place
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10.12University of California at Santa Barbara1.670.0%1st Place
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9.44Northeastern University1.820.1%1st Place
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6.89Roger Williams University2.360.1%1st Place
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8.29Bowdoin College2.030.1%1st Place
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13.04Eckerd College0.850.0%1st Place
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9.0Georgetown University1.860.1%1st Place
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11.03Christopher Newport University1.350.0%1st Place
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8.27Fordham University2.040.1%1st Place
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8.18University of Vermont2.130.1%1st Place
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6.07Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.640.1%1st Place
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7.57St. Mary's College of Maryland2.310.1%1st Place
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14.06SUNY Maritime College0.490.0%1st Place
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8.03University of Michigan2.030.1%1st Place
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7.86Old Dominion University2.140.1%1st Place
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11.55University of Wisconsin1.260.0%1st Place
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14.85Tulane University0.320.0%1st Place
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10.18Boston University1.550.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlotte Rose | 9.1% | 11.0% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Madeline Kraus | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 1.7% |
| Carolyn Corbet | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 4.9% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 3.3% | 0.8% |
| Kelsey Shakin | 9.3% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Ellie Maus | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 0.8% |
| Ainsley Parramore | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 14.0% | 16.6% | 13.8% |
| Riley Kloc | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 1.8% |
| Anna Patterson | 3.0% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 10.6% | 9.2% | 4.5% |
| Grace Howie | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 0.6% | 1.0% |
| Lolly Vasilion | 7.1% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| Dana Haig | 11.9% | 11.2% | 10.0% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Ellie Ungar | 8.7% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Clara Guarascio | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 11.4% | 16.6% | 27.1% |
| Jenna Probst | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 0.8% |
| Olivia Windemuller | 6.9% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| Erin Sullivan | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 7.0% |
| Katherine Byrnes | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 10.4% | 17.8% | 35.3% |
| Carina Becker | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 3.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.