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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College1.75+6.32vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.76+5.27vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University1.30+6.03vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University1.91+2.36vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont1.90+1.50vs Predicted
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6Boston University1.55+1.80vs Predicted
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7Eckerd College1.25+1.96vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University1.69-0.81vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University1.64-1.61vs Predicted
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10University of California at Santa Barbara1.75-2.69vs Predicted
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11St. Mary's College of Maryland1.80-4.00vs Predicted
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12Tulane University0.20+1.03vs Predicted
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13University of Wisconsin0.05+0.11vs Predicted
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14University of Michigan0.28-1.78vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University-0.22-0.95vs Predicted
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16Christopher Newport University0.06-2.66vs Predicted
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17SUNY Maritime College-1.07-0.90vs Predicted
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18Fordham University1.73-10.98vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.32Bowdoin College1.750.1%1st Place
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7.27Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.760.1%1st Place
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9.03Jacksonville University1.300.0%1st Place
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6.36Old Dominion University1.910.1%1st Place
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6.5University of Vermont1.900.1%1st Place
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7.8Boston University1.550.1%1st Place
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8.96Eckerd College1.250.0%1st Place
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7.19Georgetown University1.690.1%1st Place
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7.39Northeastern University1.640.1%1st Place
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7.31University of California at Santa Barbara1.750.1%1st Place
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7.0St. Mary's College of Maryland1.800.1%1st Place
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13.03Tulane University0.200.0%1st Place
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13.11University of Wisconsin0.050.0%1st Place
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12.22University of Michigan0.280.0%1st Place
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14.05Roger Williams University-0.220.0%1st Place
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13.34Christopher Newport University0.060.0%1st Place
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16.1SUNY Maritime College-1.070.0%1st Place
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7.02Fordham University1.730.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelsey Slack | 8.0% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Lulu Russell | 6.3% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Shaynah True | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 3.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Bridget Groble | 10.4% | 10.6% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Emma Marston | 9.8% | 10.9% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Skye Shepherd | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Margaret MacCormack | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Morgan Sailer | 7.1% | 9.9% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Victoria Pajak | 6.7% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Kerri Luttrell | 9.4% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 4.9% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Katherine Bennett | 8.8% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Alanna Austin | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 11.5% | 15.4% | 15.2% | 7.6% |
| Caroline Skotarzak | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 9.4% | 11.5% | 14.7% | 15.2% | 9.6% |
| Sarah Youtt | 2.6% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 10.1% | 11.2% | 14.5% | 11.2% | 4.9% |
| Ariana Smaldone | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 11.3% | 14.8% | 20.0% | 15.4% |
| Emily Key | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 10.2% | 13.0% | 13.7% | 15.0% | 10.6% |
| zoe clougher | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 8.8% | 16.9% | 51.0% |
| Charlotte Leclue | 8.6% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.