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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.50+8.31vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.60+6.92vs Predicted
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3Tufts University3.29+7.30vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland3.80+3.82vs Predicted
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5George Washington University2.23+8.87vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy2.88+5.75vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.30+2.99vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University4.51-2.87vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University3.76-1.07vs Predicted
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10Boston College4.43-4.36vs Predicted
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11Harvard University3.67-2.50vs Predicted
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12Cornell University3.35-1.90vs Predicted
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13University of Pennsylvania2.79-1.15vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College3.68-5.89vs Predicted
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15College of Charleston3.22-4.72vs Predicted
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16Eckerd College3.00-4.69vs Predicted
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17University of South Florida3.29-6.82vs Predicted
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18Dartmouth College3.23-7.98vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.31Yale University3.500.1%1st Place
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8.92Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.600.0%1st Place
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10.3Tufts University3.290.0%1st Place
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7.82St. Mary's College of Maryland3.800.1%1st Place
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13.87George Washington University2.230.0%1st Place
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11.75U. S. Naval Academy2.880.0%1st Place
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9.99U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.300.0%1st Place
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5.13Georgetown University4.510.1%1st Place
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7.93Old Dominion University3.760.1%1st Place
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5.64Boston College4.430.1%1st Place
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8.5Harvard University3.670.1%1st Place
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10.1Cornell University3.350.0%1st Place
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11.85University of Pennsylvania2.790.0%1st Place
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8.11Connecticut College3.680.1%1st Place
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10.28College of Charleston3.220.0%1st Place
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11.31Eckerd College3.000.0%1st Place
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10.18University of South Florida3.290.0%1st Place
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10.02Dartmouth College3.230.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claire Dennis | 5.1% | 3.8% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 2.9% |
| Caroline Patten | 4.4% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 1.7% |
| Catherine Swanson | 4.3% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 4.1% |
| Megan Magill | 7.9% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 1.1% |
| Meredith Carroll | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 10.6% | 13.8% | 30.4% |
| Marissa Lihan | 2.8% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 11.7% |
| Krysta Rohde | 4.8% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 4.2% |
| Sydney Bolger | 14.6% | 15.9% | 10.6% | 10.9% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Stephanie Roble | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.9% |
| Anne Haeger | 13.4% | 9.6% | 12.8% | 8.4% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Emily Lambert | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.5% |
| Lauren Turner | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 4.9% |
| Amanda Johnson | 2.6% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 10.9% | 12.9% |
| Maggie Shea | 7.0% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 1.1% |
| Corey Hall | 3.6% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.1% |
| Charlotte Dorris | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 8.6% |
| Abby Featherstone | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 3.8% |
| Chandler Salisbury | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 2.7% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.