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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fordham University1.73+6.35vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University1.69+5.49vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College1.75+4.22vs Predicted
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4Eckerd College1.25+4.86vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland1.80+1.88vs Predicted
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6Boston University1.55+1.83vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.76+0.06vs Predicted
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8Tulane University0.20+4.68vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University1.64-1.60vs Predicted
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10Jacksonville University1.30-0.96vs Predicted
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11Old Dominion University1.91-4.37vs Predicted
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12University of Wisconsin0.05+1.52vs Predicted
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13University of Michigan0.28-0.66vs Predicted
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14University of California at Santa Barbara1.75-7.12vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont1.90-8.55vs Predicted
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16Roger Williams University-0.22-1.87vs Predicted
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17Christopher Newport University0.06-3.68vs Predicted
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18SUNY Maritime College-1.07-2.09vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.35Fordham University1.730.1%1st Place
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7.49Georgetown University1.690.1%1st Place
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7.22Bowdoin College1.750.1%1st Place
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8.86Eckerd College1.250.1%1st Place
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6.88St. Mary's College of Maryland1.800.1%1st Place
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7.83Boston University1.550.1%1st Place
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7.06Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.760.1%1st Place
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12.68Tulane University0.200.0%1st Place
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7.4Northeastern University1.640.1%1st Place
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9.04Jacksonville University1.300.1%1st Place
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6.63Old Dominion University1.910.1%1st Place
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13.52University of Wisconsin0.050.0%1st Place
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12.34University of Michigan0.280.0%1st Place
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6.88University of California at Santa Barbara1.750.1%1st Place
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6.45University of Vermont1.900.1%1st Place
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14.13Roger Williams University-0.220.0%1st Place
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13.32Christopher Newport University0.060.0%1st Place
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15.91SUNY Maritime College-1.070.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlotte Leclue | 6.8% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 10.3% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Morgan Sailer | 5.8% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Kelsey Slack | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Margaret MacCormack | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 0.7% |
| Katherine Bennett | 8.9% | 10.5% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Skye Shepherd | 7.2% | 4.7% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Lulu Russell | 8.0% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Alanna Austin | 2.2% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 9.5% | 12.6% | 14.0% | 12.9% | 6.9% |
| Victoria Pajak | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Shaynah True | 6.0% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Bridget Groble | 9.5% | 10.2% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Caroline Skotarzak | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 12.3% | 14.7% | 16.9% | 11.2% |
| Sarah Youtt | 2.1% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 11.0% | 11.9% | 13.8% | 11.3% | 5.6% |
| Kerri Luttrell | 8.3% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Emma Marston | 9.9% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Ariana Smaldone | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 12.8% | 13.5% | 19.5% | 16.5% |
| Emily Key | 2.1% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 9.7% | 12.3% | 15.7% | 14.7% | 10.0% |
| zoe clougher | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 9.7% | 17.2% | 48.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.