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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College1.75+6.27vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University1.30+7.06vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara1.75+4.22vs Predicted
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4Boston University1.55+3.70vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University1.64+2.41vs Predicted
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6Fordham University1.73+1.15vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University1.69+0.27vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland1.80-1.21vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University1.91-2.59vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.76-2.73vs Predicted
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11Eckerd College1.25-1.93vs Predicted
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12Tulane University0.20+1.06vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont1.90-6.57vs Predicted
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14University of Wisconsin0.05-1.04vs Predicted
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15Christopher Newport University0.06-1.81vs Predicted
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16Roger Williams University-0.22-1.86vs Predicted
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17University of Michigan0.28-4.34vs Predicted
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18SUNY Maritime College-1.07-2.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.27Bowdoin College1.750.1%1st Place
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9.06Jacksonville University1.300.0%1st Place
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7.22University of California at Santa Barbara1.750.1%1st Place
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7.7Boston University1.550.1%1st Place
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7.41Northeastern University1.640.1%1st Place
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7.15Fordham University1.730.1%1st Place
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7.27Georgetown University1.690.1%1st Place
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6.79St. Mary's College of Maryland1.800.1%1st Place
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6.41Old Dominion University1.910.1%1st Place
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7.27Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.760.1%1st Place
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9.07Eckerd College1.250.1%1st Place
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13.06Tulane University0.200.0%1st Place
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6.43University of Vermont1.900.1%1st Place
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12.96University of Wisconsin0.050.0%1st Place
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13.19Christopher Newport University0.060.0%1st Place
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14.14Roger Williams University-0.220.0%1st Place
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12.66University of Michigan0.280.0%1st Place
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15.95SUNY Maritime College-1.070.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelsey Slack | 7.6% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.2% |
| Shaynah True | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 1.0% | 0.6% |
| Kerri Luttrell | 7.8% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Skye Shepherd | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Victoria Pajak | 7.1% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte Leclue | 8.1% | 8.7% | 5.9% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Morgan Sailer | 7.0% | 9.6% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 9.2% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Katherine Bennett | 8.4% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Bridget Groble | 9.7% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Lulu Russell | 8.1% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Margaret MacCormack | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 1.6% | 0.9% |
| Alanna Austin | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 12.0% | 14.4% | 14.7% | 8.6% |
| Emma Marston | 10.6% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Caroline Skotarzak | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 13.0% | 13.4% | 14.3% | 8.9% |
| Emily Key | 1.4% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 10.4% | 12.0% | 14.6% | 14.8% | 9.2% |
| Ariana Smaldone | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 8.7% | 10.3% | 14.4% | 20.6% | 16.2% |
| Sarah Youtt | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 11.4% | 12.6% | 14.4% | 11.9% | 6.2% |
| zoe clougher | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 10.7% | 17.3% | 48.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.