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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University1.30+7.99vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University1.69+5.49vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College1.75+4.25vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland1.80+2.78vs Predicted
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5Fordham University1.73+2.07vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University1.91+0.51vs Predicted
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7Eckerd College1.25+2.00vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.76-1.03vs Predicted
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9Boston University1.55-1.23vs Predicted
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10University of Michigan0.28+2.69vs Predicted
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11University of Wisconsin0.05+2.30vs Predicted
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12Christopher Newport University0.06+1.57vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont1.90-6.56vs Predicted
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14Tulane University0.20-1.53vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University-0.22-0.97vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University1.64-8.45vs Predicted
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17University of California at Santa Barbara1.75-9.82vs Predicted
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18SUNY Maritime College-1.07-2.06vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.99Jacksonville University1.300.1%1st Place
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7.49Georgetown University1.690.1%1st Place
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7.25Bowdoin College1.750.1%1st Place
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6.78St. Mary's College of Maryland1.800.1%1st Place
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7.07Fordham University1.730.1%1st Place
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6.51Old Dominion University1.910.1%1st Place
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9.0Eckerd College1.250.1%1st Place
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6.97Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.760.1%1st Place
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7.77Boston University1.550.1%1st Place
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12.69University of Michigan0.280.0%1st Place
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13.3University of Wisconsin0.050.0%1st Place
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13.57Christopher Newport University0.060.0%1st Place
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6.44University of Vermont1.900.1%1st Place
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12.47Tulane University0.200.0%1st Place
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14.03Roger Williams University-0.220.0%1st Place
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7.55Northeastern University1.640.1%1st Place
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7.18University of California at Santa Barbara1.750.1%1st Place
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15.94SUNY Maritime College-1.070.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shaynah True | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Morgan Sailer | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Kelsey Slack | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Katherine Bennett | 9.7% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte Leclue | 8.2% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Bridget Groble | 10.1% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Margaret MacCormack | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Lulu Russell | 7.7% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Skye Shepherd | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Sarah Youtt | 2.2% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 12.9% | 14.2% | 13.3% | 6.0% |
| Caroline Skotarzak | 2.0% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 12.4% | 14.4% | 15.4% | 9.8% |
| Emily Key | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 10.8% | 13.5% | 18.5% | 12.1% |
| Emma Marston | 9.5% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Alanna Austin | 2.5% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 11.7% | 14.4% | 11.3% | 7.1% |
| Ariana Smaldone | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 9.2% | 12.4% | 13.9% | 18.4% | 15.6% |
| Victoria Pajak | 6.4% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Kerri Luttrell | 8.8% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| zoe clougher | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 6.9% | 11.1% | 16.1% | 48.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.