← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Fordham University1.73+6.36vs Predicted
-
2Eckerd College1.25+7.21vs Predicted
-
3Bowdoin College1.75+4.23vs Predicted
-
4Georgetown University1.69+3.18vs Predicted
-
5Northeastern University1.64+2.39vs Predicted
-
6University of California at Santa Barbara1.75+1.13vs Predicted
-
7University of Vermont1.90-0.52vs Predicted
-
8Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.76-1.01vs Predicted
-
9Boston University1.55-1.27vs Predicted
-
10University of Wisconsin0.05+3.42vs Predicted
-
11Jacksonville University1.30-2.07vs Predicted
-
12Old Dominion University1.91-5.27vs Predicted
-
13St. Mary's College of Maryland1.80-6.23vs Predicted
-
14Tulane University0.20-1.50vs Predicted
-
15Christopher Newport University0.06-1.77vs Predicted
-
16University of Michigan0.28-3.37vs Predicted
-
17Roger Williams University-0.22-2.83vs Predicted
-
18SUNY Maritime College-1.07-2.07vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.36Fordham University1.730.1%1st Place
-
9.21Eckerd College1.250.0%1st Place
-
7.23Bowdoin College1.750.1%1st Place
-
7.18Georgetown University1.690.1%1st Place
-
7.39Northeastern University1.640.1%1st Place
-
7.13University of California at Santa Barbara1.750.1%1st Place
-
6.48University of Vermont1.900.1%1st Place
-
6.99Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.760.1%1st Place
-
7.73Boston University1.550.1%1st Place
-
13.42University of Wisconsin0.050.0%1st Place
-
8.93Jacksonville University1.300.1%1st Place
-
6.73Old Dominion University1.910.1%1st Place
-
6.77St. Mary's College of Maryland1.800.1%1st Place
-
12.5Tulane University0.200.0%1st Place
-
13.23Christopher Newport University0.060.0%1st Place
-
12.63University of Michigan0.280.0%1st Place
-
14.17Roger Williams University-0.220.0%1st Place
-
15.93SUNY Maritime College-1.070.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlotte Leclue | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Margaret MacCormack | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 0.5% |
| Kelsey Slack | 7.4% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Morgan Sailer | 8.2% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Victoria Pajak | 7.5% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Kerri Luttrell | 8.8% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Emma Marston | 9.2% | 10.7% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Lulu Russell | 8.2% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Skye Shepherd | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Caroline Skotarzak | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 11.0% | 15.9% | 17.2% | 10.2% |
| Shaynah True | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.9% |
| Bridget Groble | 9.5% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Katherine Bennett | 9.5% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Alanna Austin | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 10.0% | 12.9% | 13.3% | 11.0% | 7.1% |
| Emily Key | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 10.6% | 11.6% | 14.5% | 15.2% | 9.3% |
| Sarah Youtt | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 11.1% | 11.1% | 14.2% | 10.8% | 7.0% |
| Ariana Smaldone | 1.3% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 5.7% | 8.6% | 11.1% | 13.3% | 20.9% | 17.1% |
| zoe clougher | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 6.5% | 11.2% | 17.6% | 47.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.