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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont1.90+5.74vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University1.64+5.68vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College1.75+4.19vs Predicted
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4Boston University1.55+3.70vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland1.80+1.83vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University1.91+0.55vs Predicted
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7Fordham University1.73+0.13vs Predicted
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8Jacksonville University1.30+0.70vs Predicted
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9University of California at Santa Barbara1.75-2.02vs Predicted
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10Eckerd College1.25-0.80vs Predicted
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11Christopher Newport University0.06+2.33vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.76-4.75vs Predicted
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13Georgetown University1.69-5.85vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University-0.22-0.21vs Predicted
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15University of Wisconsin0.05-1.73vs Predicted
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16University of Michigan0.28-3.38vs Predicted
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17Tulane University0.20-4.06vs Predicted
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18SUNY Maritime College-1.07-2.06vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.74University of Vermont1.900.1%1st Place
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7.68Northeastern University1.640.1%1st Place
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7.19Bowdoin College1.750.1%1st Place
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7.7Boston University1.550.1%1st Place
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6.83St. Mary's College of Maryland1.800.1%1st Place
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6.55Old Dominion University1.910.1%1st Place
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7.13Fordham University1.730.1%1st Place
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8.7Jacksonville University1.300.1%1st Place
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6.98University of California at Santa Barbara1.750.1%1st Place
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9.2Eckerd College1.250.1%1st Place
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13.33Christopher Newport University0.060.0%1st Place
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7.25Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.760.1%1st Place
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7.15Georgetown University1.690.1%1st Place
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13.79Roger Williams University-0.220.0%1st Place
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13.27University of Wisconsin0.050.0%1st Place
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12.62University of Michigan0.280.0%1st Place
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12.94Tulane University0.200.0%1st Place
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15.94SUNY Maritime College-1.070.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emma Marston | 8.5% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Victoria Pajak | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Kelsey Slack | 7.7% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.2% |
| Skye Shepherd | 7.0% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Katherine Bennett | 9.0% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Bridget Groble | 9.5% | 9.7% | 7.4% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 10.0% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte Leclue | 7.6% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 4.9% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Shaynah True | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Kerri Luttrell | 7.5% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Margaret MacCormack | 5.7% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Emily Key | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 11.8% | 10.0% | 13.9% | 16.5% | 11.1% |
| Lulu Russell | 8.3% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Morgan Sailer | 8.9% | 6.5% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Ariana Smaldone | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 7.9% | 9.9% | 15.4% | 18.7% | 14.3% |
| Caroline Skotarzak | 1.4% | 1.0% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 13.8% | 13.7% | 15.9% | 9.7% |
| Sarah Youtt | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 14.4% | 12.5% | 10.9% | 7.0% |
| Alanna Austin | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 13.2% | 15.4% | 13.5% | 7.7% |
| zoe clougher | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 9.1% | 17.8% | 48.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.