Race 2B

veitor

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Tanya Cuprak 22.7% 19.6% 16.5% 14.3% 10.6% 8.2% 3.6% 2.8% 1.3% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Nikolas Osvalds 12.1% 12.4% 13.1% 13.8% 11.5% 12.6% 10.6% 7.0% 4.3% 2.1% 0.5% 0.0%
Matt Johnson 12.6% 11.2% 11.9% 10.8% 13.2% 13.5% 11.6% 9.0% 4.6% 1.3% 0.2% 0.1%
John Joseph 3.1% 3.3% 4.6% 5.2% 8.3% 8.1% 10.9% 14.7% 15.4% 14.6% 8.9% 2.9%
Robert Keller 2.9% 3.8% 3.2% 5.5% 7.1% 8.3% 9.0% 12.6% 16.9% 16.0% 10.7% 4.0%
Sean Andrew 5.3% 4.9% 6.8% 8.3% 6.2% 10.1% 11.8% 14.0% 16.0% 10.1% 5.4% 1.1%
Natalie Salk 14.7% 13.7% 12.6% 13.5% 13.4% 11.2% 9.1% 6.3% 3.4% 1.6% 0.3% 0.2%
Rebecca Jackson 12.4% 13.4% 11.2% 11.3% 11.5% 10.4% 11.1% 9.2% 5.7% 2.6% 1.1% 0.1%
Mackenzie Spencer 11.4% 14.1% 14.9% 12.4% 12.6% 11.3% 10.2% 6.6% 4.4% 1.8% 0.3% 0.0%
Patrick Morrissey 0.4% 0.8% 1.7% 1.4% 2.3% 1.5% 3.3% 3.7% 5.9% 15.6% 22.7% 40.7%
Christopher Calahan 0.9% 1.0% 1.0% 0.8% 1.4% 1.8% 2.9% 4.9% 8.2% 12.3% 27.1% 37.7%
Marshall McLean 1.5% 1.8% 2.5% 2.7% 1.9% 3.0% 5.9% 9.2% 13.9% 21.6% 22.8% 13.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.