Race 7A

penobscot-bay-open

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Finn Deprez 11.5% 11.3% 13.5% 14.0% 13.8% 12.1% 11.1% 8.5% 4.0% 0.4%
Sam Harris 15.6% 14.5% 14.2% 14.0% 12.6% 12.7% 9.2% 4.9% 2.2% 0.1%
Isabella Cho 11.9% 14.2% 13.5% 12.9% 13.0% 13.2% 10.9% 7.2% 2.9% 0.2%
Robert Heath 14.3% 11.7% 14.1% 14.4% 12.1% 11.6% 9.7% 7.7% 4.0% 0.4%
Jordynn Johnson 6.6% 7.3% 8.1% 8.6% 10.4% 13.3% 13.2% 14.7% 14.4% 3.4%
Curtis Mallory 5.7% 7.3% 7.5% 8.6% 9.4% 12.8% 13.8% 17.4% 14.6% 2.8%
Kevin McNeill 4.7% 5.2% 6.2% 8.2% 9.7% 9.7% 13.9% 18.0% 20.0% 4.5%
Buck Rathbun 25.8% 23.8% 17.5% 12.7% 9.7% 5.5% 3.3% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
Julian Bokulich 3.3% 4.2% 4.5% 5.4% 8.2% 8.1% 11.6% 16.5% 27.0% 11.2%
Colin Kenny 0.7% 0.4% 0.8% 1.3% 1.2% 1.1% 3.2% 3.9% 10.5% 76.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.