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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland3.80+7.08vs Predicted
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2Harvard University3.67+6.56vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.60+5.88vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University4.51+1.11vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida3.29+4.91vs Predicted
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6University of Pennsylvania2.79+6.04vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.30+2.93vs Predicted
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8Boston College4.43-2.66vs Predicted
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9Tufts University3.29+0.96vs Predicted
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10Old Dominion University3.76-1.73vs Predicted
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11Yale University3.50-1.76vs Predicted
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12George Washington University2.23+2.32vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College3.68-4.77vs Predicted
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14Cornell University3.35-4.60vs Predicted
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15U. S. Naval Academy2.88-3.38vs Predicted
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16Dartmouth College3.23-5.71vs Predicted
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17College of Charleston3.22-6.58vs Predicted
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18Eckerd College2.91-6.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.08St. Mary's College of Maryland3.800.1%1st Place
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8.56Harvard University3.670.0%1st Place
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8.88Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.600.1%1st Place
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5.11Georgetown University4.510.2%1st Place
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9.91University of South Florida3.290.0%1st Place
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12.04University of Pennsylvania2.790.0%1st Place
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9.93U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.300.0%1st Place
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5.34Boston College4.430.1%1st Place
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9.96Tufts University3.290.0%1st Place
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8.27Old Dominion University3.760.1%1st Place
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9.24Yale University3.500.1%1st Place
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14.32George Washington University2.230.0%1st Place
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8.23Connecticut College3.680.1%1st Place
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9.4Cornell University3.350.1%1st Place
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11.62U. S. Naval Academy2.880.0%1st Place
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10.29Dartmouth College3.230.0%1st Place
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10.42College of Charleston3.220.0%1st Place
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11.38Eckerd College2.910.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Megan Magill | 5.8% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 0.8% |
| Emily Lambert | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 1.0% |
| Caroline Patten | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.4% |
| Sydney Bolger | 15.6% | 14.2% | 12.0% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Abby Featherstone | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 3.8% |
| Amanda Johnson | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 13.7% |
| Krysta Rohde | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 3.5% |
| Anne Haeger | 13.4% | 14.8% | 12.5% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Catherine Swanson | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 2.8% |
| Stephanie Roble | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 0.9% |
| Claire Dennis | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 3.2% |
| Meredith Carroll | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 10.2% | 13.6% | 34.6% |
| Maggie Shea | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 1.5% |
| Lauren Turner | 5.4% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 3.1% |
| Marissa Lihan | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 11.1% | 9.7% |
| Chandler Salisbury | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 4.8% |
| Corey Hall | 4.4% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 5.3% |
| Kaye Siemers | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 9.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.