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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.76+6.10vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland1.80+4.83vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara1.75+4.10vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont1.90+2.35vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University1.69+2.09vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University1.64+1.34vs Predicted
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7Boston University1.55+0.69vs Predicted
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8University of Michigan0.28+4.31vs Predicted
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9Eckerd College1.25-0.26vs Predicted
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10University of Wisconsin0.05+3.33vs Predicted
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11Jacksonville University1.30-2.25vs Predicted
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12Old Dominion University1.91-5.35vs Predicted
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13Tulane University0.20-0.46vs Predicted
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14Bowdoin College1.14-5.02vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University-0.22-1.03vs Predicted
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16Christopher Newport University0.06-2.79vs Predicted
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17Fordham University1.73-9.88vs Predicted
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18SUNY Maritime College-1.07-2.11vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.1Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.760.1%1st Place
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6.83St. Mary's College of Maryland1.800.1%1st Place
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7.1University of California at Santa Barbara1.750.1%1st Place
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6.35University of Vermont1.900.1%1st Place
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7.09Georgetown University1.690.1%1st Place
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7.34Northeastern University1.640.1%1st Place
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7.69Boston University1.550.1%1st Place
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12.31University of Michigan0.280.0%1st Place
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8.74Eckerd College1.250.0%1st Place
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13.33University of Wisconsin0.050.0%1st Place
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8.75Jacksonville University1.300.1%1st Place
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6.65Old Dominion University1.910.1%1st Place
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12.54Tulane University0.200.0%1st Place
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8.98Bowdoin College1.140.1%1st Place
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13.97Roger Williams University-0.220.0%1st Place
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13.21Christopher Newport University0.060.0%1st Place
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7.12Fordham University1.730.1%1st Place
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15.89SUNY Maritime College-1.070.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lulu Russell | 7.4% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 5.8% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Katherine Bennett | 7.1% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kerri Luttrell | 7.7% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Emma Marston | 10.1% | 11.6% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Morgan Sailer | 7.9% | 9.9% | 6.9% | 9.9% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Victoria Pajak | 8.0% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Skye Shepherd | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Sarah Youtt | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 9.9% | 12.4% | 12.8% | 12.6% | 5.6% |
| Margaret MacCormack | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 5.5% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Caroline Skotarzak | 2.2% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 10.2% | 10.9% | 14.8% | 16.8% | 10.6% |
| Shaynah True | 6.0% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Bridget Groble | 9.4% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Alanna Austin | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 9.2% | 13.1% | 14.7% | 11.6% | 7.1% |
| Teagan Cunningham | 5.4% | 3.7% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 0.4% |
| Ariana Smaldone | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 9.8% | 15.1% | 18.0% | 16.4% |
| Emily Key | 1.3% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 12.4% | 11.9% | 15.9% | 10.0% |
| Charlotte Leclue | 9.3% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| zoe clougher | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 11.4% | 16.3% | 48.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.