← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1St. Mary's College of Maryland1.80+5.94vs Predicted
-
2University of Michigan0.28+10.68vs Predicted
-
3Boston University1.55+4.86vs Predicted
-
4Northeastern University1.64+3.18vs Predicted
-
5Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.76+1.85vs Predicted
-
6University of Vermont1.90+0.43vs Predicted
-
7Fordham University1.73-0.02vs Predicted
-
8Jacksonville University1.30+0.55vs Predicted
-
9Georgetown University1.69-1.94vs Predicted
-
10University of Wisconsin0.05+3.34vs Predicted
-
11Old Dominion University1.91-4.52vs Predicted
-
12Eckerd College1.25-2.90vs Predicted
-
13University of California at Santa Barbara1.75-6.24vs Predicted
-
14Christopher Newport University0.06-1.12vs Predicted
-
15Bowdoin College1.14-5.84vs Predicted
-
16Tulane University0.20-3.23vs Predicted
-
17Roger Williams University-0.22-2.92vs Predicted
-
18SUNY Maritime College-1.07-2.11vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.94St. Mary's College of Maryland1.800.1%1st Place
-
12.68University of Michigan0.280.0%1st Place
-
7.86Boston University1.550.1%1st Place
-
7.18Northeastern University1.640.1%1st Place
-
6.85Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.760.1%1st Place
-
6.43University of Vermont1.900.1%1st Place
-
6.98Fordham University1.730.1%1st Place
-
8.55Jacksonville University1.300.1%1st Place
-
7.06Georgetown University1.690.1%1st Place
-
13.34University of Wisconsin0.050.0%1st Place
-
6.48Old Dominion University1.910.1%1st Place
-
9.1Eckerd College1.250.0%1st Place
-
6.76University of California at Santa Barbara1.750.1%1st Place
-
12.88Christopher Newport University0.060.0%1st Place
-
9.16Bowdoin College1.140.0%1st Place
-
12.77Tulane University0.200.0%1st Place
-
14.08Roger Williams University-0.220.0%1st Place
-
15.89SUNY Maritime College-1.070.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katherine Bennett | 8.1% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Sarah Youtt | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 10.9% | 14.7% | 13.2% | 11.4% | 5.6% |
| Skye Shepherd | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Victoria Pajak | 8.7% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Lulu Russell | 8.9% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Emma Marston | 10.2% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 10.5% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte Leclue | 8.6% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Shaynah True | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Morgan Sailer | 7.2% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Caroline Skotarzak | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 13.4% | 14.0% | 17.0% | 9.9% |
| Bridget Groble | 10.1% | 10.2% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Margaret MacCormack | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.9% |
| Kerri Luttrell | 9.8% | 6.9% | 10.3% | 9.5% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Emily Key | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 11.2% | 13.6% | 13.6% | 9.2% |
| Teagan Cunningham | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 0.8% |
| Alanna Austin | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 11.9% | 12.6% | 13.1% | 7.9% |
| Ariana Smaldone | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 15.3% | 20.1% | 16.5% |
| zoe clougher | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 10.9% | 16.9% | 48.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.