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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland1.80+5.96vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.76+5.05vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University1.30+5.83vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University1.64+3.22vs Predicted
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5Boston University1.55+2.62vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont1.90+0.39vs Predicted
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7Eckerd College1.25+1.79vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University1.69-0.96vs Predicted
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9Fordham University1.73-2.10vs Predicted
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10Old Dominion University1.91-3.42vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College1.14-1.62vs Predicted
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12University of California at Santa Barbara1.75-4.79vs Predicted
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13Christopher Newport University0.06-0.03vs Predicted
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14University of Michigan0.28-1.88vs Predicted
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15Tulane University0.20-2.30vs Predicted
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16University of Wisconsin0.05-2.71vs Predicted
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17Roger Williams University-0.22-2.95vs Predicted
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18SUNY Maritime College-1.07-2.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.96St. Mary's College of Maryland1.800.1%1st Place
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7.05Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.760.1%1st Place
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8.83Jacksonville University1.300.1%1st Place
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7.22Northeastern University1.640.1%1st Place
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7.62Boston University1.550.1%1st Place
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6.39University of Vermont1.900.1%1st Place
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8.79Eckerd College1.250.1%1st Place
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7.04Georgetown University1.690.1%1st Place
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6.9Fordham University1.730.1%1st Place
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6.58Old Dominion University1.910.1%1st Place
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9.38Bowdoin College1.140.0%1st Place
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7.21University of California at Santa Barbara1.750.1%1st Place
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12.97Christopher Newport University0.060.0%1st Place
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12.12University of Michigan0.280.0%1st Place
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12.7Tulane University0.200.0%1st Place
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13.29University of Wisconsin0.050.0%1st Place
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14.05Roger Williams University-0.220.0%1st Place
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15.9SUNY Maritime College-1.070.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katherine Bennett | 8.7% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Lulu Russell | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Shaynah True | 5.3% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Victoria Pajak | 8.1% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Skye Shepherd | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Emma Marston | 9.6% | 9.9% | 8.4% | 10.3% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Margaret MacCormack | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Morgan Sailer | 7.7% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte Leclue | 7.5% | 9.5% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Bridget Groble | 10.8% | 7.0% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Teagan Cunningham | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 4.6% | 2.0% | 1.2% |
| Kerri Luttrell | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Emily Key | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 11.5% | 14.1% | 15.4% | 9.7% |
| Sarah Youtt | 2.6% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 12.3% | 13.2% | 9.5% | 6.1% |
| Alanna Austin | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 9.9% | 10.9% | 14.7% | 12.7% | 7.1% |
| Caroline Skotarzak | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 12.5% | 13.1% | 16.6% | 9.9% |
| Ariana Smaldone | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 11.3% | 14.2% | 19.2% | 17.0% |
| zoe clougher | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 10.2% | 18.8% | 47.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.