← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.76+6.02vs Predicted
-
2St. Mary's College of Maryland1.80+4.75vs Predicted
-
3University of Vermont1.90+3.47vs Predicted
-
4Boston University1.55+3.50vs Predicted
-
5Northeastern University1.64+2.17vs Predicted
-
6Fordham University1.73+0.93vs Predicted
-
7Old Dominion University1.51+0.74vs Predicted
-
8University of California at Santa Barbara1.75-1.29vs Predicted
-
9Jacksonville University1.30-0.51vs Predicted
-
10University of Wisconsin0.05+3.29vs Predicted
-
11Georgetown University1.69-3.83vs Predicted
-
12Eckerd College1.25-2.99vs Predicted
-
13University of Michigan0.28-0.82vs Predicted
-
14Bowdoin College1.14-5.12vs Predicted
-
15Christopher Newport University0.06-1.93vs Predicted
-
16Roger Williams University-0.22-1.97vs Predicted
-
17Tulane University0.20-4.27vs Predicted
-
18SUNY Maritime College-1.07-2.13vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.02Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.760.1%1st Place
-
6.75St. Mary's College of Maryland1.800.1%1st Place
-
6.47University of Vermont1.900.1%1st Place
-
7.5Boston University1.550.1%1st Place
-
7.17Northeastern University1.640.1%1st Place
-
6.93Fordham University1.730.1%1st Place
-
7.74Old Dominion University1.510.1%1st Place
-
6.71University of California at Santa Barbara1.750.1%1st Place
-
8.49Jacksonville University1.300.0%1st Place
-
13.29University of Wisconsin0.050.0%1st Place
-
7.17Georgetown University1.690.1%1st Place
-
9.01Eckerd College1.250.1%1st Place
-
12.18University of Michigan0.280.0%1st Place
-
8.88Bowdoin College1.140.1%1st Place
-
13.07Christopher Newport University0.060.0%1st Place
-
14.03Roger Williams University-0.220.0%1st Place
-
12.73Tulane University0.200.0%1st Place
-
15.87SUNY Maritime College-1.070.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lulu Russell | 7.9% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Katherine Bennett | 7.5% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Emma Marston | 9.5% | 7.6% | 10.5% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Skye Shepherd | 8.5% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Victoria Pajak | 8.1% | 10.7% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Charlotte Leclue | 8.1% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Hannah Pokorny | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Kerri Luttrell | 8.9% | 10.4% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Shaynah True | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Caroline Skotarzak | 2.0% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 11.5% | 15.8% | 15.9% | 10.1% |
| Morgan Sailer | 8.5% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Margaret MacCormack | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Sarah Youtt | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 13.8% | 12.3% | 10.4% | 5.6% |
| Teagan Cunningham | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 1.2% | 0.8% |
| Emily Key | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 14.8% | 14.4% | 9.8% |
| Ariana Smaldone | 1.4% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 9.2% | 11.6% | 11.2% | 21.1% | 15.9% |
| Alanna Austin | 2.2% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 11.6% | 15.3% | 13.0% | 7.5% |
| zoe clougher | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 6.2% | 10.2% | 16.5% | 48.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.