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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.37+6.21vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College3.06+6.36vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.33+4.23vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.63+5.88vs Predicted
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5George Washington University2.76+4.38vs Predicted
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6Brown University3.72-0.36vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida2.16+4.96vs Predicted
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8Boston University3.35-1.13vs Predicted
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9University of Pennsylvania2.44+1.87vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy2.14+2.36vs Predicted
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11Boston College3.20-3.21vs Predicted
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12Cornell University2.77-2.17vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island2.36-1.95vs Predicted
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14Tufts University2.40-3.31vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72-5.38vs Predicted
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16Harvard University2.65-6.01vs Predicted
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17U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.34-5.64vs Predicted
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18Stanford University2.38-7.07vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.21College of Charleston3.370.1%1st Place
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8.36Dartmouth College3.060.1%1st Place
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7.23Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
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9.88Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.630.0%1st Place
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9.38George Washington University2.760.1%1st Place
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5.64Brown University3.720.1%1st Place
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11.96University of South Florida2.160.0%1st Place
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6.87Boston University3.350.1%1st Place
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10.87University of Pennsylvania2.440.0%1st Place
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12.36U. S. Naval Academy2.140.0%1st Place
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7.79Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
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9.83Cornell University2.770.0%1st Place
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11.05University of Rhode Island2.360.0%1st Place
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10.69Tufts University2.400.0%1st Place
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9.62Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.1%1st Place
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9.99Harvard University2.650.0%1st Place
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11.36U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.340.0%1st Place
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10.93Stanford University2.380.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alie Toppa | 8.5% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.7% |
| Audrey Giblin | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 1.0% |
| Louisa Nordstrom | 7.9% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Bailey Carter | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.4% |
| Riley Legault | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 4.5% |
| Ragna Agerup | 13.2% | 12.1% | 10.2% | 11.6% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Marina Barzaghi | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 11.9% | 13.2% |
| Maia Agerup | 9.2% | 10.6% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.8% |
| Ava Esquier | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 6.3% |
| Jessica McJones | 3.6% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 10.3% | 11.9% | 16.7% |
| Isabella Loosbrock | 7.4% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.4% |
| Gabby Rizika | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.0% |
| Delaney Bamford | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 8.8% |
| Talia Toland | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 7.5% |
| Annie Hughes | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 3.2% |
| Taylor Gavula | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.5% |
| Madelynn Widmeier | 3.7% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 11.2% |
| Christina Sakellaris | 3.7% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 9.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.