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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.63+9.22vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.33+5.27vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.65+7.19vs Predicted
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4University of Pennsylvania2.44+6.72vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.40+5.90vs Predicted
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6Cornell University2.77+3.47vs Predicted
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7Brown University3.72-1.37vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida2.16+3.88vs Predicted
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9Boston University3.35-2.06vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72-0.11vs Predicted
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11College of Charleston3.37-3.96vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College3.06-3.40vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island2.36-1.95vs Predicted
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14Stanford University2.38-3.21vs Predicted
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15George Washington University2.76-5.58vs Predicted
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16U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.34-4.60vs Predicted
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17U. S. Naval Academy2.14-4.78vs Predicted
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18Boston College3.20-10.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.22Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.630.0%1st Place
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7.27Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
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10.19Harvard University2.650.0%1st Place
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10.72University of Pennsylvania2.440.0%1st Place
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10.9Tufts University2.400.0%1st Place
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9.47Cornell University2.770.1%1st Place
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5.63Brown University3.720.1%1st Place
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11.88University of South Florida2.160.0%1st Place
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6.94Boston University3.350.1%1st Place
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9.89Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.1%1st Place
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7.04College of Charleston3.370.1%1st Place
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8.6Dartmouth College3.060.1%1st Place
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11.05University of Rhode Island2.360.0%1st Place
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10.79Stanford University2.380.0%1st Place
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9.42George Washington University2.760.1%1st Place
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11.4U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.340.0%1st Place
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12.22U. S. Naval Academy2.140.0%1st Place
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7.39Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bailey Carter | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 5.2% |
| Louisa Nordstrom | 7.2% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Taylor Gavula | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 3.7% |
| Ava Esquier | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 7.2% |
| Talia Toland | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 10.4% |
| Gabby Rizika | 5.5% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 3.8% |
| Ragna Agerup | 11.9% | 15.3% | 10.8% | 7.9% | 10.3% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Marina Barzaghi | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 11.8% | 13.1% |
| Maia Agerup | 8.6% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.6% |
| Annie Hughes | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 4.3% |
| Alie Toppa | 9.1% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.7% |
| Audrey Giblin | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 2.0% |
| Delaney Bamford | 3.8% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 9.4% |
| Christina Sakellaris | 3.4% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 8.3% |
| Riley Legault | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 3.0% |
| Madelynn Widmeier | 3.2% | 2.2% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 10.0% | 10.5% |
| Jessica McJones | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 16.2% |
| Isabella Loosbrock | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 1.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.