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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.72+4.81vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania2.44+9.13vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.63+7.27vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida2.16+7.84vs Predicted
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5Boston University3.35+1.98vs Predicted
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6Yale University3.33+1.06vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston3.37-0.09vs Predicted
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8Tufts University2.40+2.90vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72+0.64vs Predicted
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10Harvard University2.65+0.18vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.34+0.42vs Predicted
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12George Washington University2.76-2.17vs Predicted
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13U. S. Naval Academy2.14-1.14vs Predicted
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14Boston College3.20-6.66vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island2.36-3.86vs Predicted
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16Dartmouth College3.06-7.79vs Predicted
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17Stanford University2.38-5.76vs Predicted
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18Cornell University2.77-8.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.81Brown University3.720.1%1st Place
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11.13University of Pennsylvania2.440.0%1st Place
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10.27Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.630.0%1st Place
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11.84University of South Florida2.160.0%1st Place
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6.98Boston University3.350.1%1st Place
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7.06Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
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6.91College of Charleston3.370.1%1st Place
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10.9Tufts University2.400.0%1st Place
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9.64Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.0%1st Place
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10.18Harvard University2.650.1%1st Place
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11.42U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.340.0%1st Place
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9.83George Washington University2.760.0%1st Place
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11.86U. S. Naval Academy2.140.0%1st Place
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7.34Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
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11.14University of Rhode Island2.360.0%1st Place
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8.21Dartmouth College3.060.1%1st Place
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11.24Stanford University2.380.0%1st Place
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9.24Cornell University2.770.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ragna Agerup | 11.7% | 13.4% | 10.4% | 10.3% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Ava Esquier | 2.8% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 7.6% |
| Bailey Carter | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 4.4% |
| Marina Barzaghi | 2.8% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 10.4% | 14.8% |
| Maia Agerup | 9.8% | 10.3% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.8% |
| Louisa Nordstrom | 8.7% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 0.2% |
| Alie Toppa | 9.2% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.8% |
| Talia Toland | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 7.8% |
| Annie Hughes | 4.4% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 3.9% |
| Taylor Gavula | 5.1% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 5.3% |
| Madelynn Widmeier | 3.7% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 11.1% |
| Riley Legault | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 5.1% |
| Jessica McJones | 2.8% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 10.5% | 14.1% |
| Isabella Loosbrock | 7.5% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.7% |
| Delaney Bamford | 3.7% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 9.9% |
| Audrey Giblin | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 1.2% |
| Christina Sakellaris | 3.9% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 8.9% |
| Gabby Rizika | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 3.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.