← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Boston University3.35+6.27vs Predicted
-
2College of Charleston3.37+5.12vs Predicted
-
3Yale University3.33+4.26vs Predicted
-
4Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72+5.53vs Predicted
-
5Tufts University2.40+5.93vs Predicted
-
6Brown University3.72-0.38vs Predicted
-
7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.34+4.21vs Predicted
-
8U. S. Naval Academy2.14+4.01vs Predicted
-
9University of Rhode Island2.36+2.21vs Predicted
-
10Boston College3.20-2.11vs Predicted
-
11Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.63-0.80vs Predicted
-
12Cornell University2.77-2.14vs Predicted
-
13University of South Florida2.16-1.18vs Predicted
-
14University of Pennsylvania2.44-3.50vs Predicted
-
15Dartmouth College3.06-6.90vs Predicted
-
16Stanford University2.38-4.81vs Predicted
-
17Harvard University2.65-6.92vs Predicted
-
18George Washington University2.76-8.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.27Boston University3.350.1%1st Place
-
7.12College of Charleston3.370.1%1st Place
-
7.26Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
-
9.53Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.0%1st Place
-
10.93Tufts University2.400.0%1st Place
-
5.62Brown University3.720.1%1st Place
-
11.21U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.340.0%1st Place
-
12.01U. S. Naval Academy2.140.0%1st Place
-
11.21University of Rhode Island2.360.0%1st Place
-
7.89Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
-
10.2Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.630.0%1st Place
-
9.86Cornell University2.770.0%1st Place
-
11.82University of South Florida2.160.0%1st Place
-
10.5University of Pennsylvania2.440.0%1st Place
-
8.1Dartmouth College3.060.1%1st Place
-
11.19Stanford University2.380.0%1st Place
-
10.08Harvard University2.650.0%1st Place
-
9.21George Washington University2.760.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maia Agerup | 8.9% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.9% |
| Alie Toppa | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 10.2% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.5% |
| Louisa Nordstrom | 7.9% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Annie Hughes | 4.9% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 5.1% |
| Talia Toland | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 9.2% |
| Ragna Agerup | 12.2% | 13.4% | 11.3% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Madelynn Widmeier | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 7.5% |
| Jessica McJones | 3.1% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 15.1% |
| Delaney Bamford | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 8.5% |
| Isabella Loosbrock | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 1.1% |
| Bailey Carter | 4.8% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 5.6% |
| Gabby Rizika | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 4.4% |
| Marina Barzaghi | 3.6% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 14.0% |
| Ava Esquier | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.3% |
| Audrey Giblin | 6.9% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 1.2% |
| Christina Sakellaris | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 10.4% |
| Taylor Gavula | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 5.2% |
| Riley Legault | 5.2% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 3.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.