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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College1.95+3.67vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College0.05+5.89vs Predicted
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3Harvard University1.85+1.54vs Predicted
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4Tufts University0.55+4.80vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.59+0.34vs Predicted
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6University of New Hampshire0.10+3.92vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College0.70+1.47vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University0.46+1.62vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.33+0.13vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont1.05-2.84vs Predicted
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11Maine Maritime Academy0.41-1.48vs Predicted
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12The Citadel0.33-2.57vs Predicted
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13University of California at Berkeley0.98-6.89vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.88-6.21vs Predicted
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15Northwestern University-0.54-3.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.67Boston College1.9514.6%1st Place
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7.89Bowdoin College0.055.2%1st Place
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4.54Harvard University1.8516.2%1st Place
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8.8Tufts University0.554.8%1st Place
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5.34Tufts University1.5912.2%1st Place
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9.92University of New Hampshire0.103.6%1st Place
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8.47Dartmouth College0.704.6%1st Place
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9.62Northeastern University0.463.8%1st Place
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9.13Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.334.0%1st Place
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7.16University of Vermont1.056.6%1st Place
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9.52Maine Maritime Academy0.413.8%1st Place
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9.43The Citadel0.334.2%1st Place
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6.11University of California at Berkeley0.988.9%1st Place
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7.79U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.885.4%1st Place
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11.61Northwestern University-0.542.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ian Hopkins Guerra | 14.6% | 14.7% | 13.9% | 11.4% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Benjamin Stevens | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 2.6% |
| Harrison Strom | 16.2% | 14.9% | 12.8% | 12.8% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Kiana Beachy | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 6.1% |
| Gus Macaulay | 12.2% | 11.3% | 11.5% | 9.6% | 11.0% | 10.6% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Sam Harris | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 10.9% | 12.3% | 12.2% |
| Ava Hurwitz | 4.6% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 4.5% |
| Aidan Boni | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 10.8% | 12.2% | 11.1% |
| Kevin Brooksbank | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 7.4% |
| Calvin Lamosse | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 1.6% |
| Henri Richardsson | 3.8% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 10.8% | 9.5% |
| Andrew Tollefson | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 9.6% |
| Will Cornell | 8.9% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Benjamin Reeser | 5.4% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 3.0% |
| Anna Kovacs | 2.1% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 14.7% | 31.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.