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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.63+9.22vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.72+3.74vs Predicted
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3University of Pennsylvania2.44+8.09vs Predicted
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4Cornell University2.77+5.30vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72+4.55vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College3.06+2.16vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.34+4.27vs Predicted
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8Harvard University2.65+1.86vs Predicted
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9College of Charleston3.37-2.13vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island2.36+1.50vs Predicted
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11Tufts University2.40+0.20vs Predicted
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12Boston University3.35-4.63vs Predicted
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13Yale University3.33-6.07vs Predicted
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14University of South Florida2.16-2.34vs Predicted
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15George Washington University2.76-5.63vs Predicted
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16U. S. Naval Academy2.14-3.83vs Predicted
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17Boston College3.20-9.23vs Predicted
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18Stanford University2.38-7.02vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.22Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.630.0%1st Place
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5.74Brown University3.720.1%1st Place
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11.09University of Pennsylvania2.440.0%1st Place
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9.3Cornell University2.770.0%1st Place
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9.55Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.0%1st Place
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8.16Dartmouth College3.060.1%1st Place
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11.27U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.340.0%1st Place
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9.86Harvard University2.650.0%1st Place
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6.87College of Charleston3.370.1%1st Place
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11.5University of Rhode Island2.360.0%1st Place
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11.2Tufts University2.400.0%1st Place
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7.37Boston University3.350.1%1st Place
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6.93Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
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11.66University of South Florida2.160.0%1st Place
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9.37George Washington University2.760.0%1st Place
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12.17U. S. Naval Academy2.140.0%1st Place
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7.77Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
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10.98Stanford University2.380.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bailey Carter | 4.6% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.0% |
| Ragna Agerup | 11.1% | 11.0% | 11.4% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Ava Esquier | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 7.8% |
| Gabby Rizika | 4.6% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.0% |
| Annie Hughes | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.1% |
| Audrey Giblin | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 1.4% |
| Madelynn Widmeier | 3.5% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 10.3% | 7.6% | 10.0% |
| Taylor Gavula | 4.2% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 8.0% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 4.2% |
| Alie Toppa | 8.6% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Delaney Bamford | 4.0% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 10.5% |
| Talia Toland | 4.3% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 9.9% |
| Maia Agerup | 7.7% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 8.6% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Louisa Nordstrom | 9.7% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Marina Barzaghi | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 10.5% | 13.4% |
| Riley Legault | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 3.7% | 3.4% |
| Jessica McJones | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 11.6% | 14.9% |
| Isabella Loosbrock | 8.7% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| Christina Sakellaris | 3.8% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 8.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.