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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.65+9.12vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.40+9.27vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72+6.83vs Predicted
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4Boston University3.35+2.98vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston3.37+1.85vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida2.16+6.04vs Predicted
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7Yale University3.33+0.10vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.34+3.18vs Predicted
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9Boston College3.20-1.46vs Predicted
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10University of Pennsylvania2.44+1.12vs Predicted
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11Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.63-0.83vs Predicted
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12Brown University3.72-6.15vs Predicted
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13George Washington University2.76-3.70vs Predicted
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14U. S. Naval Academy2.14-2.24vs Predicted
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15Cornell University2.77-5.66vs Predicted
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16Stanford University2.38-4.82vs Predicted
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17Dartmouth College3.06-8.67vs Predicted
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18University of Rhode Island2.36-6.98vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.12Harvard University2.650.0%1st Place
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11.27Tufts University2.400.0%1st Place
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9.83Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.0%1st Place
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6.98Boston University3.350.1%1st Place
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6.85College of Charleston3.370.1%1st Place
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12.04University of South Florida2.160.0%1st Place
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7.1Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
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11.18U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.340.0%1st Place
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7.54Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
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11.12University of Pennsylvania2.440.0%1st Place
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10.17Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.630.1%1st Place
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5.85Brown University3.720.1%1st Place
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9.3George Washington University2.760.1%1st Place
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11.76U. S. Naval Academy2.140.0%1st Place
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9.34Cornell University2.770.1%1st Place
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11.18Stanford University2.380.0%1st Place
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8.33Dartmouth College3.060.1%1st Place
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11.02University of Rhode Island2.360.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Taylor Gavula | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.1% |
| Talia Toland | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 8.6% |
| Annie Hughes | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 4.8% | 3.0% |
| Maia Agerup | 9.4% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.0% |
| Alie Toppa | 9.5% | 10.6% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.5% |
| Marina Barzaghi | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 15.4% |
| Louisa Nordstrom | 8.6% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 0.7% |
| Madelynn Widmeier | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 10.8% |
| Isabella Loosbrock | 6.4% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.8% |
| Ava Esquier | 4.3% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 8.0% |
| Bailey Carter | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.8% |
| Ragna Agerup | 12.7% | 11.7% | 9.3% | 10.9% | 9.1% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Riley Legault | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 2.8% |
| Jessica McJones | 3.1% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 14.7% |
| Gabby Rizika | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 3.2% |
| Christina Sakellaris | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 9.7% |
| Audrey Giblin | 7.4% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 8.4% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 2.6% | 0.9% |
| Delaney Bamford | 3.4% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 8.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.