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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.37+6.18vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.69+8.05vs Predicted
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3University of Pennsylvania2.44+8.16vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.34+7.06vs Predicted
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5Yale University3.33+2.03vs Predicted
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6Boston University3.35+1.01vs Predicted
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7Cornell University2.77+2.38vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72+1.53vs Predicted
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9Brown University3.72-3.47vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island2.36+1.46vs Predicted
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11George Washington University2.76-1.41vs Predicted
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12University of South Florida2.16+0.36vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College3.06-4.94vs Predicted
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14Boston College3.20-6.61vs Predicted
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15Tufts University2.40-4.01vs Predicted
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16Stanford University2.38-4.85vs Predicted
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17U. S. Naval Academy2.14-4.78vs Predicted
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18Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.63-8.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.18College of Charleston3.370.1%1st Place
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10.05Harvard University2.690.0%1st Place
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11.16University of Pennsylvania2.440.0%1st Place
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11.06U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.340.0%1st Place
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7.03Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
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7.01Boston University3.350.1%1st Place
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9.38Cornell University2.770.0%1st Place
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9.53Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.0%1st Place
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5.53Brown University3.720.1%1st Place
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11.46University of Rhode Island2.360.0%1st Place
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9.59George Washington University2.760.1%1st Place
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12.36University of South Florida2.160.0%1st Place
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8.06Dartmouth College3.060.1%1st Place
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7.39Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
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10.99Tufts University2.400.0%1st Place
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11.15Stanford University2.380.0%1st Place
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12.22U. S. Naval Academy2.140.0%1st Place
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9.86Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.630.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alie Toppa | 8.1% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Emma Kaneti | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.6% |
| Ava Esquier | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 8.5% |
| Madelynn Widmeier | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 9.4% |
| Louisa Nordstrom | 9.3% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 4.8% | 7.6% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.7% |
| Maia Agerup | 9.3% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Gabby Rizika | 4.8% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.1% |
| Annie Hughes | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 3.6% |
| Ragna Agerup | 12.5% | 13.5% | 11.5% | 7.6% | 10.6% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Delaney Bamford | 4.1% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 9.8% |
| Riley Legault | 5.6% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.2% |
| Marina Barzaghi | 2.6% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 13.8% | 15.0% |
| Audrey Giblin | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 1.1% |
| Isabella Loosbrock | 7.8% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.7% |
| Talia Toland | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 8.5% |
| Christina Sakellaris | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 9.6% |
| Jessica McJones | 3.0% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 12.0% | 15.4% |
| Bailey Carter | 4.8% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 4.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.