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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.33+6.26vs Predicted
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2Stanford University2.38+9.41vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.72+2.72vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.34+7.12vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College3.06+3.13vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy2.14+6.10vs Predicted
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7Cornell University2.77+2.43vs Predicted
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8George Washington University2.76+1.40vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72+0.60vs Predicted
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10Boston University3.35-2.76vs Predicted
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11Tufts University2.40+0.18vs Predicted
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12Boston College3.20-4.01vs Predicted
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13University of South Florida2.16-1.22vs Predicted
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14College of Charleston3.37-7.30vs Predicted
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15Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.63-5.04vs Predicted
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16Harvard University2.65-5.99vs Predicted
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17University of Pennsylvania2.44-6.05vs Predicted
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18University of Rhode Island2.36-6.96vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.26Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
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11.41Stanford University2.380.0%1st Place
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5.72Brown University3.720.1%1st Place
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11.12U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.340.0%1st Place
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8.13Dartmouth College3.060.1%1st Place
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12.1U. S. Naval Academy2.140.0%1st Place
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9.43Cornell University2.770.1%1st Place
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9.4George Washington University2.760.1%1st Place
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9.6Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.0%1st Place
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7.24Boston University3.350.1%1st Place
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11.18Tufts University2.400.0%1st Place
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7.99Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
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11.78University of South Florida2.160.0%1st Place
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6.7College of Charleston3.370.1%1st Place
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9.96Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.630.0%1st Place
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10.01Harvard University2.650.0%1st Place
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10.95University of Pennsylvania2.440.0%1st Place
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11.04University of Rhode Island2.360.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Louisa Nordstrom | 8.4% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Christina Sakellaris | 2.7% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 8.6% |
| Ragna Agerup | 12.0% | 11.6% | 11.4% | 10.5% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Madelynn Widmeier | 3.4% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 9.3% |
| Audrey Giblin | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.7% |
| Jessica McJones | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 10.7% | 16.3% |
| Gabby Rizika | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 3.4% |
| Riley Legault | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 3.5% |
| Annie Hughes | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 3.7% |
| Maia Agerup | 9.5% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.9% |
| Talia Toland | 4.2% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 10.4% | 9.0% |
| Isabella Loosbrock | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 1.4% |
| Marina Barzaghi | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 10.7% | 13.6% |
| Alie Toppa | 8.7% | 12.4% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Bailey Carter | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.0% |
| Taylor Gavula | 3.9% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.7% |
| Ava Esquier | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 7.8% |
| Delaney Bamford | 3.9% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 9.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.