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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.72+4.85vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston3.37+5.11vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.33+4.28vs Predicted
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4Boston College3.20+3.55vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.63+4.93vs Predicted
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6Boston University3.35+1.02vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72+2.65vs Predicted
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8Stanford University2.38+2.97vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida2.16+3.01vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.34+1.53vs Predicted
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11George Washington University2.76-1.35vs Predicted
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12University of Pennsylvania2.44-0.80vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College3.06-4.98vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island2.36-3.17vs Predicted
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15Cornell University2.77-5.65vs Predicted
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16Tufts University2.40-4.92vs Predicted
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17Harvard University2.65-6.97vs Predicted
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18U. S. Naval Academy2.14-6.06vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.85Brown University3.720.1%1st Place
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7.11College of Charleston3.370.1%1st Place
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7.28Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
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7.55Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
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9.93Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.630.0%1st Place
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7.02Boston University3.350.1%1st Place
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9.65Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.1%1st Place
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10.97Stanford University2.380.0%1st Place
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12.01University of South Florida2.160.0%1st Place
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11.53U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.340.0%1st Place
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9.65George Washington University2.760.1%1st Place
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11.2University of Pennsylvania2.440.0%1st Place
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8.02Dartmouth College3.060.1%1st Place
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10.83University of Rhode Island2.360.0%1st Place
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9.35Cornell University2.770.1%1st Place
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11.08Tufts University2.400.0%1st Place
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10.03Harvard University2.650.0%1st Place
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11.94U. S. Naval Academy2.140.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ragna Agerup | 11.4% | 12.9% | 11.5% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Alie Toppa | 7.6% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Louisa Nordstrom | 8.0% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Isabella Loosbrock | 8.1% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 1.4% |
| Bailey Carter | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.2% |
| Maia Agerup | 8.7% | 10.0% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.6% |
| Annie Hughes | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 4.3% |
| Christina Sakellaris | 4.1% | 2.8% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 9.6% |
| Marina Barzaghi | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 12.4% |
| Madelynn Widmeier | 4.2% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 10.5% |
| Riley Legault | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 4.4% |
| Ava Esquier | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 10.4% |
| Audrey Giblin | 7.7% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 1.3% |
| Delaney Bamford | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 9.0% |
| Gabby Rizika | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 3.1% |
| Talia Toland | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 9.0% |
| Taylor Gavula | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 4.8% |
| Jessica McJones | 3.1% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 3.2% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 9.3% | 10.7% | 13.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.