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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.63+9.24vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.33+5.27vs Predicted
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3Cornell University2.77+6.71vs Predicted
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4Boston University3.35+2.94vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.72+0.57vs Predicted
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6University of Pennsylvania2.44+4.85vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.34+4.22vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College3.06+0.05vs Predicted
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9Stanford University2.38+2.08vs Predicted
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10George Washington University2.76-0.29vs Predicted
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11College of Charleston3.37-3.96vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72-1.97vs Predicted
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13University of South Florida2.16-1.19vs Predicted
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14Tufts University2.40-3.31vs Predicted
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15U. S. Naval Academy2.14-2.95vs Predicted
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16Boston College3.20-8.33vs Predicted
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17University of Rhode Island2.36-5.65vs Predicted
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18Harvard University2.65-8.27vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.24Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.630.0%1st Place
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7.27Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
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9.71Cornell University2.770.0%1st Place
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6.94Boston University3.350.1%1st Place
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5.57Brown University3.720.1%1st Place
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10.85University of Pennsylvania2.440.0%1st Place
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11.22U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.340.0%1st Place
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8.05Dartmouth College3.060.1%1st Place
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11.08Stanford University2.380.0%1st Place
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9.71George Washington University2.760.1%1st Place
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7.04College of Charleston3.370.1%1st Place
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10.03Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.0%1st Place
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11.81University of South Florida2.160.0%1st Place
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10.69Tufts University2.400.0%1st Place
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12.05U. S. Naval Academy2.140.0%1st Place
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7.67Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
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11.35University of Rhode Island2.360.0%1st Place
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9.73Harvard University2.650.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bailey Carter | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.6% |
| Louisa Nordstrom | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Gabby Rizika | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 3.0% |
| Maia Agerup | 9.1% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Ragna Agerup | 14.7% | 12.9% | 10.4% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Ava Esquier | 3.7% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.6% |
| Madelynn Widmeier | 3.8% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 8.9% |
| Audrey Giblin | 6.8% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 1.5% |
| Christina Sakellaris | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 7.1% |
| Riley Legault | 5.7% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 7.3% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 3.6% |
| Alie Toppa | 9.1% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.8% |
| Annie Hughes | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.4% |
| Marina Barzaghi | 3.4% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 14.1% |
| Talia Toland | 3.8% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 7.7% |
| Jessica McJones | 2.0% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 10.5% | 15.0% |
| Isabella Loosbrock | 7.3% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
| Delaney Bamford | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 10.7% |
| Taylor Gavula | 4.2% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.