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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University1.85+3.52vs Predicted
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2Boston College1.95+2.64vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.88+4.80vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.59+1.23vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont1.05+2.09vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College0.05+2.11vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College0.70+1.19vs Predicted
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8Maine Maritime Academy0.41+1.58vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University0.46+0.65vs Predicted
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10University of New Hampshire0.10+0.08vs Predicted
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11Tufts University0.55-2.24vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.33-2.84vs Predicted
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13The Citadel0.33-3.68vs Predicted
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14Northwestern University-0.54-2.39vs Predicted
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15University of California at Berkeley0.98-8.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.52Harvard University1.8515.3%1st Place
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4.64Boston College1.9515.8%1st Place
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7.8U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.887.1%1st Place
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5.23Tufts University1.5913.3%1st Place
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7.09University of Vermont1.057.1%1st Place
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8.11Bowdoin College0.055.1%1st Place
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8.19Dartmouth College0.705.4%1st Place
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9.58Maine Maritime Academy0.413.4%1st Place
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9.65Northeastern University0.463.1%1st Place
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10.08University of New Hampshire0.102.4%1st Place
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8.76Tufts University0.554.2%1st Place
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9.16Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.333.5%1st Place
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9.32The Citadel0.334.2%1st Place
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11.61Northwestern University-0.541.5%1st Place
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6.24University of California at Berkeley0.988.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harrison Strom | 15.3% | 15.6% | 13.2% | 11.9% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Ian Hopkins Guerra | 15.8% | 14.3% | 12.8% | 11.9% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Benjamin Reeser | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 3.0% |
| Gus Macaulay | 13.3% | 11.6% | 11.5% | 11.0% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Calvin Lamosse | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 1.2% |
| Benjamin Stevens | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 3.1% |
| Ava Hurwitz | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 4.2% |
| Henri Richardsson | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 10.2% |
| Aidan Boni | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 10.0% |
| Sam Harris | 2.4% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 11.5% | 13.5% | 12.7% |
| Kiana Beachy | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 6.0% |
| Kevin Brooksbank | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 8.0% |
| Andrew Tollefson | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 8.7% |
| Anna Kovacs | 1.5% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 14.2% | 32.1% |
| Will Cornell | 8.5% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 0.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.