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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University4.51+4.44vs Predicted
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2Boston College4.43+3.59vs Predicted
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3Eckerd College2.91+8.82vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College3.68+4.22vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.60+3.63vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College3.23+4.21vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland3.80+0.86vs Predicted
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8Harvard University3.67+0.29vs Predicted
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9Yale University3.50+0.07vs Predicted
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10College of Charleston3.22+0.52vs Predicted
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11Cornell University3.35-1.14vs Predicted
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12U. S. Naval Academy2.88+0.03vs Predicted
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13University of South Florida3.29-3.17vs Predicted
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14University of Pennsylvania2.79-2.30vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.30-5.11vs Predicted
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16George Washington University2.23-1.86vs Predicted
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17Tufts University3.29-6.89vs Predicted
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18Old Dominion University3.76-10.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.44Georgetown University4.510.1%1st Place
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5.59Boston College4.430.1%1st Place
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11.82Eckerd College2.910.0%1st Place
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8.22Connecticut College3.680.1%1st Place
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8.63Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.600.1%1st Place
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10.21Dartmouth College3.230.0%1st Place
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7.86St. Mary's College of Maryland3.800.1%1st Place
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8.29Harvard University3.670.1%1st Place
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9.07Yale University3.500.0%1st Place
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10.52College of Charleston3.220.1%1st Place
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9.86Cornell University3.350.0%1st Place
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12.03U. S. Naval Academy2.880.0%1st Place
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9.83University of South Florida3.290.0%1st Place
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11.7University of Pennsylvania2.790.0%1st Place
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9.89U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.300.0%1st Place
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14.14George Washington University2.230.0%1st Place
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10.11Tufts University3.290.0%1st Place
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7.79Old Dominion University3.760.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sydney Bolger | 13.7% | 13.0% | 11.6% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Anne Haeger | 11.7% | 11.0% | 11.2% | 10.9% | 10.1% | 10.7% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Kaye Siemers | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 11.4% | 11.4% | 9.2% |
| Maggie Shea | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 1.7% |
| Caroline Patten | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 1.7% |
| Chandler Salisbury | 4.8% | 2.6% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 4.9% |
| Megan Magill | 7.2% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 1.0% |
| Emily Lambert | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 1.3% |
| Claire Dennis | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 1.7% |
| Corey Hall | 5.2% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 5.1% |
| Lauren Turner | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 4.0% | 3.9% |
| Marissa Lihan | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 10.6% | 13.2% |
| Abby Featherstone | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 3.8% |
| Amanda Johnson | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 12.4% | 10.9% |
| Krysta Rohde | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 8.4% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.1% |
| Meredith Carroll | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 10.3% | 12.8% | 32.5% |
| Catherine Swanson | 4.7% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 3.7% |
| Stephanie Roble | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 2.9% | 5.3% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 1.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.