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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.15+6.20vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.02+9.93vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy2.80+5.58vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College2.99+3.58vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.18+1.76vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.26+0.54vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida1.94+5.03vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island2.15+3.05vs Predicted
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9Yale University3.38-3.05vs Predicted
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10University of Pennsylvania2.43+0.23vs Predicted
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11College of Charleston2.64-1.81vs Predicted
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12Stanford University2.62-2.50vs Predicted
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13Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.33-2.77vs Predicted
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14Harvard University2.50-4.60vs Predicted
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15Tufts University1.52-1.47vs Predicted
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16Boston University2.12-4.60vs Predicted
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17Cornell University2.50-7.18vs Predicted
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18George Washington University2.35-7.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.2Boston College3.150.1%1st Place
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11.93U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.020.0%1st Place
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8.58U. S. Naval Academy2.800.1%1st Place
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7.58Dartmouth College2.990.1%1st Place
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6.76Brown University3.180.1%1st Place
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6.54Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.260.1%1st Place
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12.03University of South Florida1.940.0%1st Place
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11.05University of Rhode Island2.150.0%1st Place
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5.95Yale University3.380.1%1st Place
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10.23University of Pennsylvania2.430.1%1st Place
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9.19College of Charleston2.640.1%1st Place
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9.5Stanford University2.620.0%1st Place
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10.23Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.330.0%1st Place
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9.4Harvard University2.500.1%1st Place
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13.53Tufts University1.520.0%1st Place
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11.4Boston University2.120.0%1st Place
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9.82Cornell University2.500.0%1st Place
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10.07George Washington University2.350.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sophia Reineke | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Christina Nothacker | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 10.6% | 11.8% |
| Olivia de Olazarra | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 1.5% |
| Emma White | 7.9% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 0.8% |
| Hannah Steadman | 9.6% | 10.7% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Emily Haig | 10.1% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Kathryn Bornarth | 3.4% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 12.0% | 12.6% |
| Rebecca Read | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 7.9% |
| Christine Klingler | 11.0% | 11.4% | 10.9% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Lenox Butcher | 5.5% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 4.8% |
| Marian Frances Williams | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 3.0% |
| Stephanie Houck | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 2.7% |
| Katherine Cox | 4.4% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 5.1% |
| Lucy Wilmot | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 2.9% |
| Charlotte Lenz | 1.8% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 13.5% | 26.3% |
| Grace Mooradian | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 10.5% |
| Daisy Holthus | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 4.2% |
| Aitana Mendiguren | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 4.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.