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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.38+5.32vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island2.15+9.43vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.50+6.94vs Predicted
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4Boston College3.15+2.90vs Predicted
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5Cornell University2.50+4.58vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.26+0.54vs Predicted
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7University of Pennsylvania2.43+3.03vs Predicted
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8Brown University3.18-1.24vs Predicted
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9Stanford University2.62+0.09vs Predicted
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10Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.33+0.65vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College2.99-3.25vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.02+0.02vs Predicted
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13Tufts University1.52+0.37vs Predicted
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14Boston University2.12-3.07vs Predicted
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15University of South Florida1.94-3.04vs Predicted
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16College of Charleston2.64-6.89vs Predicted
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17U. S. Naval Academy2.80-8.47vs Predicted
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18George Washington University2.35-7.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.32Yale University3.380.1%1st Place
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11.43University of Rhode Island2.150.0%1st Place
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9.94Harvard University2.500.0%1st Place
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6.9Boston College3.150.1%1st Place
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9.58Cornell University2.500.0%1st Place
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6.54Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.260.1%1st Place
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10.03University of Pennsylvania2.430.0%1st Place
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6.76Brown University3.180.1%1st Place
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9.09Stanford University2.620.0%1st Place
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10.65Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.330.0%1st Place
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7.75Dartmouth College2.990.1%1st Place
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12.02U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.020.0%1st Place
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13.37Tufts University1.520.0%1st Place
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10.93Boston University2.120.0%1st Place
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11.96University of South Florida1.940.0%1st Place
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9.11College of Charleston2.640.1%1st Place
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8.53U. S. Naval Academy2.800.1%1st Place
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10.09George Washington University2.350.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christine Klingler | 10.0% | 11.7% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Rebecca Read | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 9.0% |
| Lucy Wilmot | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 3.5% |
| Sophia Reineke | 9.9% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.6% |
| Daisy Holthus | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 3.8% |
| Emily Haig | 9.8% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Lenox Butcher | 4.7% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 4.4% |
| Hannah Steadman | 8.8% | 9.5% | 10.9% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Stephanie Houck | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 4.1% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 1.8% |
| Katherine Cox | 4.7% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 5.9% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 5.3% |
| Emma White | 8.4% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 1.1% |
| Christina Nothacker | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 11.0% | 11.0% | 13.9% |
| Charlotte Lenz | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 12.9% | 26.2% |
| Grace Mooradian | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 9.1% |
| Kathryn Bornarth | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 11.6% | 12.2% |
| Marian Frances Williams | 5.4% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 2.4% |
| Olivia de Olazarra | 6.3% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 1.1% |
| Aitana Mendiguren | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 4.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.